Tournament2025 AGF Foley Championships - Oct 2025
[ grey / youth ]TX

Ellis Gray Guthrie

Jits
7,470S-Tier
Top 0.1% of all rated fighters
+600Last event: Oct 11, 2025
#120
Overall
Top 0%
Percentile
#74
grey Belt
Record
68-1681% Win Rate
68 Wins16 Losses
W
W
W
W
W
5-0 Last 5+13 Streak

Trophy Case

15 GoldAGF 15
2025AGFAGFAGFFOLEYFOLEYFOLEY

AGF FOLEY GIOct 11, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFFOLEYFOLEYFOLEY

AGF FOLEY NO-GIOct 11, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFHOUSTONHOUSTONHOUSTON

AGF HOUSTON GISep 27, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFHOUSTONHOUSTONHOUSTON

AGF HOUSTON NO-GISep 27, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFBILOXIBILOXIBILOXI

AGF BILOXI GISep 13, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFBILOXIBILOXIBILOXI

AGF BILOXI NO-GISep 13, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFBATON ROUGEBATON ROUGEBATON ROUGE

AGF BATON ROUGE GIJul 12, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFBATON ROUGEBATON ROUGEBATON ROUGE

AGF BATON ROUGE NO-GIJul 12, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFWORLDSWORLDSWORLDS

AGF WORLDS GIJun 14, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFWORLDSWORLDSWORLDS

AGF WORLDS NO-GIJun 14, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFUS NATIONALUS NATIONALUS NATIONAL

AGF US NATIONAL NO-GIApr 19, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFJACKSONJACKSONJACKSON

AGF JACKSON GIMar 29, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFJACKSONJACKSONJACKSON

AGF JACKSON NO-GIMar 29, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFHOUSTONHOUSTONHOUSTON

AGF HOUSTON GIMar 1, 2025

2025AGFAGFAGFDALLAS WINTERDALLAS WINTERDALLAS WINTER

AGF DALLAS WINTER GIJan 25, 2025

The Roll Up

Best WinSep 13, 2025

Biggest win over Sawyer Silveria-snow by Submission

2025 AGF Biloxi OpenThe Roll Up →
Best WinJul 12, 2025

Biggest win over Cameron Hebert by Submission

2025 AGF Baton Rouge ChampionshipsThe Roll Up →
Best WinJul 12, 2025

Biggest win over Cameron Hebert by Submission

2025 AGF Baton Rouge ChampionshipsThe Roll Up →
Best WinJul 12, 2025

Biggest win over Cameron Hebert by Submission

2025 AGF Baton Rouge ChampionshipsThe Roll Up →
Best WinJun 14, 2025

Biggest win over Sawyer Silveria-snow by Submission

2025 AGF Kids WorldsThe Roll Up →
Upset ArtistMar 29, 2025

Beat Eli Blackmon by Points

2025 AGF Jackson ChampionshipsThe Roll Up →
Upset ArtistMar 29, 2025

Beat Eli Blackmon by DQ

2025 AGF Jackson ChampionshipsThe Roll Up →

Fighter Intelligence

11 Tournaments
Medals
39Medals
across 11 tournaments
Gold 24
Silver 7
Bronze 8
62% Gold Rate
Belt Avg 45%
What this means62% of tournament entries result in gold17 points above the belt average. Elite podium consistency — this fighter dominates their brackets.
Finishing Ability
63%
Subs
Submission 43
Points 24
Other 1
Belt Avg 61%
+2 pts vs belt avg
What this means63% of wins by submission2 points above the belt average. This fighter has elite finishing ability for their rank.

Get notified when Ellis Gray Guthrie's rankings update

Advanced Analytics

AI Calculated

Growth Trajectory

DVI
Dominant
Dominant — winning at an elite level
Growing faster than 99% of peers

Win Quality

Giant Killer
Clutch Score: +19.3%
2
Upset Wins
17
Close Wins
49
Exp. Wins
10
Losses
5
Upset Losses
Best win: Beat Jacob K Slate (4275 pts higher)
83 matches analyzed

Format Split

BALANCED
39 Gi44 NoGi
Gi
32W-7L82%
NoGi
36W-8L82%
Sub Rate
Gi 51%NoGi 52%
0% win rate delta — Gi stronger

Segment Analysis

Malegrey BeltAges 12-1329,089 Fighters
Comparing to 29,089 grey belt fighters
Win Rate
82%avg 61%
AVG
+21 pts vs avg
Sub Rate
63%avg 61%
AVG
Gold Rate
82%avg 45%
AVG
+37 pts vs avg
What This Means

Ranked #74 of 29,089 grey belts globally. 82% win rate, 63% submission rate.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter History

83 matches
ResultMethodFighterJITSAcademyBracketVideoTournamentFormatDate
WSUB
3832+50
Jm Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776
Yellow
Pre Teen 10-11 · Feather II
NoGiOct 11, 2025
WPTS
3832+30
Jm Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776
Yellow
Pre Teen 10-11 · Feather II
NoGiOct 11, 2025
WPTS
4608+20
Gracie Barra Crestview
-
Regular Challenger · Feather II
NoGiOct 11, 2025
WPTS
6673+120
Checkmat Gulf Breeze BJJ
-
Regular Challenger · Feather II
NoGiOct 11, 2025
WSUB
5704+110
Victory MMA
-
Regular Challenger · Feather II
NoGiOct 11, 2025
WPTS
3832+30
Jm Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776
Yellow
Pre Teen 10-11 · Feather II
GiOct 11, 2025
WPTS
3832+40
Jm Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776
Yellow
Pre Teen 10-11 · Feather II
GiOct 11, 2025
WSUB
3832+50
Jm Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776
-
Regular Challenger · Feather II
GiOct 11, 2025
WPTS
6673+130
Checkmat Gulf Breeze BJJ
-
Regular Challenger · Feather II
GiOct 11, 2025
WSUB
1482+20
Checkmat Daphne
-
Regular Challenger · Feather II
GiOct 11, 2025

From JM Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776

See all →
Data Sources
Matches83
Placements39
Tournaments11
Medals🥇 24🥈 7🥉 8
Sources
AGFIBJJF
First MatchFeb 2025
Last MatchOct 2025

Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.

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About

Ellis Gray Guthrie is a grey belt from JM Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776, ranked #101 globally with an S-Tier designation. He has earned 24 golds across 11 tournaments, posting an 82% gold rate that nearly triples the grey belt average of 28%.

His 82% win rate exceeds the belt average of 49%, and his balanced ratings of 5,400 in gi and 5,580 in no-gi across 40 and 44 matches show equal proficiency in both formats. He holds 16 competitive wins, with his best victory over Jacob K Slate closing a massive 4,140-point rating gap. His DVI trend is dominant at the 99th percentile with a rate of 647, one of the highest in this group. He competes primarily through AGF and Tap Cancer Out, sweeping 4 golds at the AGF Foley, Biloxi, and Baton Rouge events.

Frequently Asked Questions

Ellis Gray Guthrie has a 68-15 competition record across 83 matches in 11 tournaments.
Ellis Gray Guthrie is ranked #120 overall and #74 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Ellis Gray Guthrie has earned 24 gold, 7 silver, 8 bronze medals across 11 tournaments.
Ellis Gray Guthrie trains at JM Modern Jiu Jitsu 1776 and competes as a grey belt.
Ellis Gray Guthrie has a 63% submission rate and a 82% win rate across 83 matches.
Ellis Gray Guthrie is ranked #74 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Ellis Gray Guthrie's current Jits rating is 7470. Use the Rating Simulator on Ellis Gray Guthrie's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.