AGF Jackson Produces the Weekend’s Wildest Upset
Fourteen tournaments, 5,151 matches, seven organizations. A 4,271-Jits gap closed at AGF Jackson, a 34-0 streak snaps in Mississippi, and Christian Solis goes 9-1 with eight submissions at Newbreed Dallas.
Lane Rowzee walks onto the mat at AGF Jackson Championships rated at 1,070 Jits. His opponent, Sky Holloway, carries 5,341. Rowzee wins on points. A 0.7% probability. The weekend's widest upset comes from a tournament in Mississippi that produces three of the top five rating gaps.
Fourteen tournaments across seven organizations produce 5,151 matches this weekend. Grappling Industries Cleveland leads with 821. Newbreed Jackson runs just 86 matches but finishes 65% by submission.
Star Performances
Nine wins, eight by submission, one loss. The highest match volume of any MVP this weekend. Grinds through the entire bracket at Newbreed Dallas.
Perfect five-win weekend with four submissions. The weekend’s highest Jits gain among MVPs.
Nine wins, zero losses, seven submissions. Perfect weekend at AGF Pittsburgh in a tournament that Stout PGH otherwise controls.
Gold medal at AGF Jackson. One submission, three points wins from a blue belt at MobTown MMA.
Two submissions and a points win. Gold at New England V from a grey belt out of Royal Jiu Jitsu.
Christian Solis of RockStar North Frisco puts up the most absurd stat line of the weekend: 9-1 at Newbreed Dallas with eight of those wins by submission. One loss in ten matches. Eight finishes. The kind of ratio that makes scouts take notice.
At NAGA Nashville, Jagg Stinson of Harrison County BJJ goes 5-0 with four submissions for the weekend's largest Jits gain among MVPs. And at AGF Pittsburgh, Hamza Compagnoni of Spar BJJ puts together a perfect 9-0 run — seven submissions — in a tournament dominated by Stout PGH. Everyone else collects medals. Compagnoni collects finishes.
The Deep Brackets
Grappling Industries runs three events this weekend — Cleveland, Boise, and Indianapolis — and the deep bracket runs concentrate there. Eight fighters win six straight in a single division. Barrett Hawthorne Mccoy, Moose John D. Lane V, Weston Walker, and Logan Bishop all do it at Boise. Magnum Vincent, Cristian Collins, and Tim May match them at Cleveland. Bryce Smyth runs the table at Indianapolis.
Alliance BJJ dominates the Boise brackets with three of those six-win runs and 50 total medals from 33 fighters. The round-robin format rewards endurance. These fighters have it.
Upsets and Surprises
The weekend’s widest upset. Rowzee outpoints a 5,341-Jits fighter at AGF Jackson.
Blackmon submits a 5,144-Jits opponent at AGF Jackson. He also loses twice to Ellis Gray Guthrie later in the day -- the volatility cuts both ways.
Guthrie wins by DQ over a Blackmon who had just pulled a 3,814-Jits upset of his own. AGF Jackson keeps rewriting the script.
AGF Jackson is the chaos engine this weekend. Three of the top five rating-gap upsets come from the same tournament in Mississippi. Eli Blackmon embodies the contradictions: he submits a 5,144-Jits opponent in one bracket, then loses twice to Ellis Gray Guthrie in another. Up 3,814 Jits one match, down 3,584 the next.
The streak list runs long. Lainey McKinney (34-0) falls to Thomas Calhoun at AGF Jackson. Owen Reece Hebert (33-0) goes down at the same tournament. Pierce Pimentel (19-0) sees his run end at New England V in what is becoming a weekly pattern: no streak over 15 is safe on a crowded Saturday.
Academy Report
| Academy | Fighters | Medals | Gold | Silver | Bronze |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stout PGH | 43 | 84 | 36 | 35 | 13 |
| Alliance BJJ | 33 | 50 | 24 | 21 | 5 |
| Anthony Mitchell JJ Studio | 19 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| Sylvio Behring USA | 18 | 37 | 17 | 15 | 5 |
| Yemaso Brazilian Jiujitsu | 22 | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| Hunter MMA | 15 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 208 Jiu Jitsu/TRUJITSU | 20 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 |
| Bushido JJ Zionsville | 19 | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 |
| Levitate Jiu Jitsu | 19 | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| Gustavo Rodrigues BJJ | 16 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 |
Stout PGH puts on a clinic at AGF Pittsburgh: 84 medals from 43 fighters, including 36 golds. That is a 2.0 medals-per-fighter rate and the highest total of any academy this weekend. Alliance BJJ runs second with 50 medals at Grappling Industries Boise — 24 of them gold. Sylvio Behring USA collects 37 medals from just 18 fighters at AGF Missoula, a 2.1 ratio.
Tournament Scoreboard
| Tournament | Org | Matches | Sub Rate | Top Academy | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GI Cleveland | GI | 821 | 59% | Levitate Jiu Jitsu (31) | Three 6-win bracket runs |
| GI Boise | GI | 775 | 62% | Alliance BJJ (50) | Alliance dominates with 50 medals |
| NAGA Nashville | NAGA | 604 | 51% | Free Form MMA (19) | Stinson goes 5-0 with 4 subs |
| New England V Gi | JJWL | 600 | 44% | Morselli Jiu Jitsu (19) | Lowest sub rate of the weekend |
| AGF Jackson | AGF | 483 | 55% | A. Mitchell JJ Studio (38) | 3 of top 5 upsets, two 30+ streaks fall |
| NAGA Utah | NAGA | 443 | 51% | Gustavo Rodrigues BJJ (28) | Shafer's 16-0 streak broken |
| GI Indianapolis | GI | 315 | 57% | Bushido JJ Zionsville (32) | Adams' 21-0 streak falls |
| Newbreed Dallas | Newbreed | 310 | 54% | Bushido MMA (26) | Solis goes 9-1 with 8 subs |
| New England V NoGi | JJWL | 197 | 52% | Cruvinel Brothers (11) | Wallis earns gold at 3-0 |
| AGF Missoula | AGF | 160 | 53% | Sylvio Behring USA (36) | Garcia breaks Shea Clayton's 19-0 streak |
| AGF Pittsburgh | AGF | 139 | 51% | Stout PGH (82) | Stout PGH collects 84 medals |
| Grappling X Tacoma | Grappling X | 113 | 55% | Legend Jiu Jitsu (11) | Washington State Championships |
| United Sacramento | United | 105 | 56% | GB Roseville CA (9) | Saturday action in Sacramento |
| Newbreed Jackson | Newbreed | 86 | 65% | No Limit Combatives (11) | 65% sub rate in Jackson |
Monday Ratings Movers
Sam Megale of Alliance BJJ gains +6,940 Jits on a perfect 5-0 weekend at Grappling Industries Boise — the biggest single-weekend Glicko-2 move across all fourteen tournaments.
Gardner Jack Scow of 208 Jiu Jitsu/TRUJITSU goes 9-1 for +6,260 Jits, despite seeing his own 18-0 streak broken by Alexandria Guerrero at the same Boise event. The loss barely dents the gain. On the drops side, Emaline Su of Hiago Gama Jiu Jitsu Academy takes the hardest fall: -4,190 Jits on an 0-2 weekend.
Risers
| # | Fighter | Record | Tier | Rating | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Megale | 5-0 | Elite | 3,656 | +6,940 |
| 2 | Gardner Jack Scow | 9-1 | Prodigy | 4,399 | +6,260 |
| 3 | Sean Risman | 3-0 | Elite | 2,957 | +5,970 |
| 4 | Jagg Stinson | 5-0 | Elite | 3,230 | +5,940 |
| 5 | Adalynn Vasquez | 7-2 | Prodigy | 3,556 | +5,910 |
Drops
| # | Fighter | Record | Tier | Rating | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emaline Su | 0-2 | Elite | 3,434 | -4,190 |
| 2 | Liam Lopez | 0-3 | Elite | 2,490 | -3,760 |
| 3 | Tyrece Roberts | 0-4 | Advanced | 2,044 | -3,040 |
| 4 | William Greenberg | 0-4 | Advanced | 2,003 | -2,930 |
| 5 | Denali Smith | 0-8 | Elite | 2,938 | -2,920 |
Looking Ahead
March closes with another weekend of broken streaks and regional chaos. AGF Jackson proved that geography produces its own kind of upset — fighters who have never crossed paths meet and the ratings scramble. April opens next weekend with an even fuller schedule. The Grappling Industries circuit alone ran three events this Saturday. The volume is building.
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