TournamentADCC US Open - San Jose, CA - Mar 2026
[ Yellow / youth ]CA
Lincoln Costello
Jits
5,675S-Tier
Top 0.1% of all rated fighters
-310Last event: Feb 21, 2026
#606
Overall
Top 1%
Percentile
#149
Yellow Belt
Record
11-569% Win Rate
11 Wins5 Losses
L
W
W
W
W
4-1 Last 5
Trophy Case
4 GoldADCC 3 · NAGA 1Premier
Fighter Intelligence
5 TournamentsMedals
10Medals
across 5 tournaments
Gold 7
Silver 3
Bronze 0
70% Gold Rate
Belt Avg 44%
What this means70% of tournament entries result in gold — 26 points above the belt average. Elite podium consistency — this fighter dominates their brackets.
Finishing Ability
100%
Subs
Submission 11
Points 0
Other 0
Belt Avg 59%
+41 pts vs belt avg
What this means100% of wins by submission — 41 points above the belt average. This fighter has elite finishing ability for their rank.
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Advanced Analytics
AI CalculatedGrowth Trajectory
DVIDominant
Dominant — winning at an elite level
Growing faster than 94% of peers
Win Quality
Overachiever
Clutch Score: +10.6%
11
Close Wins
5
Losses
Best win: Beat Sage X. Cruz (1656 pts higher)
16 matches analyzed
Format Split
BALANCED4 Gi12 NoGi
Gi
3W-1L75%
NoGi
8W-4L67%
Sub Rate
Gi 75%NoGi 67%
8% win rate delta — Gi stronger
Segment Analysis
MaleYellow BeltAges 14-155,539 FightersComparing to 5,539 yellow belt fighters
Win Rate
69%avg 58%
AVG
+11 pts vs avg
Sub Rate
100%avg 59%
AVG
+41 pts vs avg
Gold Rate
80%avg 44%
AVG
+36 pts vs avg
What This Means
Ranked #149 of 5,539 yellow belts. 69% win rate, 100% submission rate across 16 matches.
Tale of the Tape
Next Tournaments
ADCC
ADCC Us Open - San Jose, CAMar 22, 2026
Malenogi · Advanced · -40,0 kg·-40,0 kg
| # | Name | JITS | Academy | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln Costello | 5,675 | On Guard Brazilian Jiu Jitsu | 11-5 |
| 2 | Matvei Karbanovich | 3,410 | Art of Jiujitsu | 18-7 |
2 Fighters — Best 2 out of 3
Your chance to win gold: 84%
Malenogi · Advanced · -45,0 kg·-45,0 kg
| # | Name | JITS | Academy | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln Costello | 5,675 | On Guard Brazilian Jiu Jitsu | 11-5 |
| 2 | Sebastian Kiyan | 4,046 | Carlson Gracie Temecula | 39-11 |
| 3 | Scotty Freeman | 3,916 | Atos HQ | 14-9 |
| 4 | Indiana Welch | 3,377 | One Jiu Jitsu | 32-18 |
| 5 | Ryder Reppond | 3,019 | Carlsbad Jiu Jitsu | 25-15 |
5 Fighters — 2–3 wins to gold
Your chance to win gold: 73%
Fighter History
16 matches
| Result | Method | Fighter | JITS | Academy | Bracket | Video | Tournament | Format | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | SUB | 4538+370 | Impact Jiu Jitsu Hillsboro | - Boys [13-14 Years] · Advanced · 50kg | Gi | Feb 21, 2026 | |||
| W | SUB | 1059+60 | Ronin Jiu Jitsu Portland | - Boys [13-14 Years] · Advanced · 50kg | Gi | Feb 21, 2026 | |||
| L | SUB | 3272-1150 | Alameda Jiu-jitsu | - Boys [15-17 Years] · Advanced · 50kg | Gi | Feb 21, 2026 | |||
| W | SUB | 3916+410 | Atos HQ | - Boys [15-17 Years] · Advanced · 50kg | Gi | Feb 21, 2026 | |||
| W | SUB | 3766+400 | Team Wise | Yellow Expert · 14-15 · 100-115 | NAGAWashington II | NoGi | Sep 27, 2025 | ||
| W | SUB | 4194+480 | Royal MMA | Yellow Expert · 14-15 · 100-115 | NAGAWashington II | NoGi | Sep 27, 2025 | ||
| W | SUB | 7331+1160 | Atos Jiu-jitsu | - 13-14 · Advanced · 40kg | ADCCUS Open - Dallas | NoGi | Jun 14, 2025 | ||
| W | SUB | 3181+860 | Rockstar South Frisco | - 13-14 · Advanced · 40kg | ADCCUS Open - Dallas | NoGi | Jun 14, 2025 | ||
| W | SUB | 4844+640 | Conquest | - 13-14 · Advanced · 40kg | ADCCUS Open - Dallas | NoGi | Jun 14, 2025 | ||
| W | SUB | 3278+370 | All American MMA | - 13-14 · Advanced · 45kg | ADCCUS Open - Dallas | NoGi | Jun 14, 2025 |
From ON GUARD BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
See all →
Scouting Report
Data Sources
Matches16
Placements10
Tournaments5
Medals🥇 7🥈 3
Sources
ADCCNAGA
First MatchFeb 2025
Last MatchFeb 2026
Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.
FloGrappling Videos
Elite fighters may have match videos on Flograppling. A subscription is required to view.
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About
Lincoln Costello is a Yellow belt from ON GUARD BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU, ranked #489 globally and #119 among Yellow belts with Prodigy tier status. He has earned 7 gold medals across 5 tournaments with a 100% submission rate, nearly double the Yellow belt average of 53%. His 80% gold rate more than doubles the belt average of 37%.
He carries 11 competitive wins in 16 matches, with his best rated win over Sage X. Cruz at a +1605 rating gap. He posted a 2-gold, 2-silver, 1-bronze haul at the ADCC US Open in Portland. His DVI trend is dominant at the 89th percentile. He competes across ADCC and NAGA, with 12 no-gi matches at a 4040 rating far outpacing his 4 gi matches at 2190.
Frequently Asked Questions
Lincoln Costello has a 11-5 competition record across 16 matches in 5 tournaments.
Lincoln Costello is ranked #606 overall and #149 among Yellow belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Lincoln Costello has earned 7 gold, 3 silver medals across 5 tournaments.
Lincoln Costello trains at ON GUARD BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU and competes as a Yellow belt.
Lincoln Costello has a 100% submission rate and a 69% win rate across 16 matches.
Lincoln Costello is ranked #149 among Yellow belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Lincoln Costello's current Jits rating is 5675. Use the Rating Simulator on Lincoln Costello's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.