The Roll Up

A 33-0 Record Falls in Fresno, ADCC Portland Hits 70% Sub Rate

Twelve tournaments, 5,896 matches, eight organizations. A 7,845-Jits yellow belt loses twice at ADCC Portland. Atticus Vitug sees his 33-win streak end in Fresno.

B
Ben Digital
February 24, 2025 · 5 min read
5,896
MATCHES THIS WEEKEND
12
TOURNAMENTS
8
ORGANIZATIONS

Jacob K Slate enters the ADCC US Open in Portland rated at 7,845 Jits — the highest-rated youth fighter at any tournament this weekend. He loses twice. Ian Mondragon submits him, closing a 5,715-Jits gap with a 0.1% win probability. Jake Morris Scharf submits him again, closing a 4,824-Jits gap. The same fighter, same tournament, two different opponents, two submissions.

Twelve tournaments across eight organizations produce 5,896 matches this weekend. Grappling Industries New Hampshire leads with 1,148. NAGA Denver follows at 705. And in Fresno, Atticus Vitug of Elite Team International walks in on a 33-win streak and walks out 33-2.

01
STAR PERFORMANCES

Star Performances

BB
Westside BJJ·8-1 this weekend
+1,550
JITS GAINED

Six submissions and two points wins for the gold medal. His submission over Ellis Gray Guthrie — a 5,840-Jits grey belt — closes a 4,130-Jits gap.

CB
Royal Jiu Jitsu·5-1 this weekend
+1,380
JITS GAINED

Five submissions in six matches at the ADCC US Open. The only loss does not come by finish.

RJ
+990
JITS GAINED

Six matches, six submissions. Gold medal at Newbreed Augusta with a 100% finish rate.

MD
Diego Ramalho BJJ NC·6-1 this weekend
+790
JITS GAINED

Five submissions and a points win for the gold medal at Newbreed Raleigh. A white belt finishing five of six opponents.

Bentley Ballard of Westside BJJ puts together the most complete individual weekend at AGF Bossier: 8-1 with six submissions, a gold medal, and a statement win over Ellis Gray Guthrie. Guthrie enters rated at 5,840 Jits. Three different fighters beat him at the same tournament — Ballard by submission, Mason Pack by points, and Victor Hicks by points. Three upsets, one target.

At ADCC Portland, the submission rate hits 70% — the highest of any tournament this weekend. Charlie Bowers of Royal Jiu Jitsu embodies the ruleset: five submissions in six matches. Raphael Joseph Pesce matches the finish rate at Newbreed Augusta with six submissions in six matches.

02
THE DEEP BRACKETS

The Deep Brackets

JA
2002 Jiu-Jitsu·10-0 this weekend
+4,300
JITS GAINED

Ten matches, ten wins across Gi and No Gi at Grappling Industries New Hampshire. Rises to Elite tier at 4,141 Jits.

SB
617 Brazilian Jiu Jitsu·11-1 this weekend
+4,750
JITS GAINED

Twelve matches in one day. Six wins in his deep bracket division plus five more across other divisions. Only one loss on the card.

Grappling Industries New Hampshire produces five separate six-win bracket runs — the deepest concentration of long brackets at a single event this season. Marin Alexander, Paul Sablone, Goga Indutnyi, Samuel Banhos, and a fifth fighter each win six straight in their respective divisions.

Grappling Industries Montana contributes another six-win run from Kevin Barth of GVMA Gallatin Valley Martial Arts in the white belt division. Alexander enters New Hampshire at 7,121 Jits — the highest-rated fighter in any deep bracket this weekend.

03
UPSETS AND SURPRISES

Upsets and Surprises

#1 — 5,715-JITS GAP · 0.1% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 ADCC US Open Portland

Mondragon submits the highest-rated youth fighter at any tournament this weekend. A 5,715-Jits gap. A 0.1% win probability. It happens anyway.

#2 — 4,824-JITS GAP · 0.4% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 ADCC US Open Portland

Slate loses twice by submission at the same tournament. Two different opponents, combined gap of 10,539 Jits.

#3 — 4,390-JITS GAP · 0.6% WIN PROB
Points \u2014 AGF Bossier

Pack beats Guthrie on points. One of three fighters to upset the 5,840-Jits grey belt at the same tournament.

Jacob K Slate and Ellis Gray Guthrie share an unwanted distinction this weekend: both lose to multiple lower-rated fighters at the same event. Slate falls twice by submission at ADCC Portland. Guthrie loses three times at AGF Bossier.

The streak-breaker board runs even deeper. Atticus Vitug (33-0) of Elite Team International falls to Elias Jimmeye at Grappling X Fresno. His teammate Ezekiel M Rico (27-0) loses at the same event. Andres Maldonado (25-0) of Renzo Gracie Rockland falls at ADCC Portland. Noel Jeronimo Ortiz (24-0) loses at Newbreed Raleigh. Four fighters with 24+ win streaks lose in one weekend.

04
ACADEMY REPORT

Academy Report

AcademyFightersMedalsGoldSilverBronze
Elite Team International3752231910
Triad Martial Arts223716129
Ronaldo Candido Academy BJJ2235101312
Lambo Jiu Jitsu143318105
ADG Jiu-Jitsu (Smyrna)223210175
New Era Jiu Jitsu Academy163013152
Sylvio Behring USA142913115
Pacific Martial Arts23271593
Spearfish Martial Arts15276813
Castro MMA & Fitness142611105

Elite Team International leads the weekend with 52 medals from 37 fighters at Grappling X Fresno — even as two of their own fighters, Vitug and Rico, see long win streaks end. Lambo Jiu Jitsu runs the most efficient operation: 33 medals from 14 fighters, a 2.36 medals-per-fighter rate, with 18 golds.

05
TOURNAMENT SCOREBOARD

Tournament Scoreboard

TournamentOrgMatchesSub RateTop AcademyTakeaway
GI New HampshireGI1,14857%2002 Jiu-Jitsu (24)Five 6-win bracket runs, biggest field of the weekend
NAGA DenverNAGA70551%New Era JJ Academy (30)Flores goes 3-0 for gold, Wilson's 21-win streak falls
ADCC PortlandADCC63670%Bonney Lake BJJ (23)70% sub rate, Slate upset twice by submission
GI MontanaGI61059%Sylvio Behring USA (27)Ergas (21-0) falls, Barth wins 6 straight in white belt
AGF BossierAGF58457%Triad MA (37)Guthrie upset three times, Ballard goes 8-1 for gold
NAGA DetroitNAGA47948%Ronaldo Candido (35)Fraire goes 4-0, Hicks (19-0) streak broken
Grappling X FresnoGRAPPLING X37958%Elite Team Intl (52)Vitug (33-0) and Rico (27-0) both fall
Newbreed AugustaNEWBREED37052%GB Summerville (25)Pesce goes 6-0, all submissions
Newbreed RaleighNEWBREED35847%Island JJ Atlantic (12)Ortiz (24-0) streak snaps, Dawavendewa goes 6-1
United SLCUNITED25366%SOMA JJ Idaho (22)66% sub rate, second only to ADCC
Nashville Winter GamesGRAPPLING GAMES19355%ADG JJ (32)Alltop (23-0) streak ends
GI San DiegoGI18161%Alliance San Diego (6)Smallest GI field, 61% sub rate
06
RATINGS MOVERS

Monday Ratings Movers

Porter Rudd of Wolves Den Jiu Jitsu gains +5,790 Jits on a 5-0 weekend — the biggest single-weekend Glicko-2 move across all twelve tournaments. The white belt jumps from unrated to 2,762 Jits and Elite tier in one day.

Isabelly Sophia Silva Soares of Alliance Jiu Jitsu Framingham goes 4-0 for +5,580 Jits. Seraphim Urban of Spa City Martial Arts goes 7-1 for +5,260 Jits at Grappling Industries New Hampshire. On the drops side, Maximus Timothy Mccall of Relson Gracie takes the hardest fall: -2,500 Jits on a 2-2 weekend. Titan Clements of SBG Bozeman drops -2,420 Jits on a 0-7 day at GI Montana.

Risers

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Porter Rudd5-0Elite2,762+5,790
2Isabelly Silva Soares4-0Elite3,891+5,580
3Seraphim Urban7-1Elite3,569+5,260
4Charlotte Anna M Hintz4-1Prodigy4,846+5,040
5Samuel Banhos11-1Elite3,494+4,750
6Caemic McGuire4-1Elite3,075+4,730
7Jace Armani Gonzalez10-0Elite4,141+4,300
8Rory Connors6-1Prodigy6,141+4,290

Drops

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Maximus Timothy Mccall2-2Elite4,412-2,500
2Titan Clements0-7Elite2,357-2,420
3Ezekiel M Rico2-2Prodigy6,544-2,270
4Hunter Jake Anderson0-4Prodigy4,361-1,970
5Guilherme Martins Toledo0-4Elite2,904-1,940
07
LOOKING AHEAD

Looking Ahead

ADCC Portland's 70% submission rate is the highest we have recorded at a tournament this season. The ADCC ruleset rewards finishes, and the numbers prove it. As February closes, the circuit rolls into March with nearly 15,000 matches logged across the last three weekends.

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