20 Tournaments. 12,172 Matches. Two Weekends.
Rating Model v3 launches with weight class awareness, upset accountability, and deep bracket credit. Plus the biggest upsets, risers, and drops from 7 organizations.
This week JITS.GG shipped Rating Model v3 — a full rebuild from scratch. Weight class awareness, mixed gender recognition, white belt volume decay, upset accountability, progressive loss caps, and deep bracket credit. Every rating on the platform changed. Here's who moved.
Biggest Upsets
Upsets are the heartbeat of competition. These are the matches where the lower-Jits fighter walked in, looked across at a name with a better record and more Jits, and won anyway. The Jits gap measures the distance between David and Goliath.
#1 — 4,678 Jits gap Malakai Tagarao (1-1, 1,366 Jits) def. Costa Borrelli (51-2, 6,044 Jits) Points — California XI Gi Youth
First tournament. One match on the record. Malakai Tagarao walked into California XI as a complete unknown and beat Costa Borrelli — an S-Tier fighter who was 51-2 at the time. By points.
#2 — 3,592 Jits gap Colton Benjamin Null (42-32, 2,540 Jits) def. Jigen Nagata (72-11, 6,132 Jits) Points — Dallas XIV Gi
Jigen Nagata has 72 wins and 11 losses. That's an 87% win rate built over years. Colton Benjamin Null walked into Dallas XIV with a .568 record and shut him out on points.
#3 — 3,526 Jits gap Jaden Brewster (17-11, 1,436 Jits) def. Jack Richard Mangum (126-33, 4,962 Jits) Win — Austin Winter Kids No-Gi IBJJF
Jack Richard Mangum has 126 career wins. One hundred and twenty-six. Jaden Brewster showed up to IBJJF Austin No-Gi with 17 wins and took him down.
#4 — 3,502 Jits gap Zac Joseph Shaffi (48-15, 2,701 Jits) def. Ian Michel Radea (71-9, 6,203 Jits) Submission — ADCC US Open Portland
Ian Michel Radea's record reads 71-9. Nine losses in 80 matches. Zac Joseph Shaffi made it ten — by submission at ADCC US Open Portland.
#5 — 3,490 Jits gap Maddison Lynn Mattly (74-41, 2,534 Jits) def. Athena Esther Stanev (45-4, 6,024 Jits) Win — Austin Winter Kids IBJJF
Athena Esther Stanev was 45-4. Four losses across her entire career. Maddison Lynn Mattly handed her number five at IBJJF Austin.
#6 — 3,480 Jits gap Aria Van Den Bossche (41-30, 4,022 Jits) def. Charlotte "Tank" Kleintank (104-13, 7,502 Jits) Submission — ADCC US Open Portland
#7 — 3,420 Jits gap Josiah Solano (4-1, 1,913 Jits) def. Tristian Duran-Marquez (41-12, 5,333 Jits) Points — NAGA Denver
#8 — 3,368 Jits gap Sofia Marie Ramirez (35-14, 2,854 Jits) def. Ryla Jaye Knight (113-29, 6,222 Jits) Win — Austin Winter Kids No-Gi IBJJF
#9 — 3,355 Jits gap Giselle Lozoya (9-11, 1,112 Jits) def. Elena Boghouzian (15-3, 4,467 Jits) Points — California XI Gi Youth
#10 — 3,257 Jits gap Camilla Audrey Stone (34-16, 2,766 Jits) def. Makynlee Rayne Gibson (80-17, 6,023 Jits) Points — ADCC US Open Portland
Biggest Risers
The fighters who gained the most Jits over the last two weekends. Every point earned on the mat — no model adjustments, just competition results.
| # | Fighter | Record | Tier | Rating | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob K Slate | 15-1, 16 matches | S-TIER | 10,710 | +4,380 |
| 2 | Nikolai Hynson | 35-3, 38 matches | ELITE | 5,500 | +4,270 |
| 3 | Micah Alexander Craioveanu | 6-0, 6 matches | S-TIER | 9,002 | +4,202 |
| 4 | Cain M Cawley | 4-0, 4 matches | S-TIER | 9,784 | +4,184 |
| 5 | Cassidy Lee Hartman | 13-0, 13 matches | ELITE | 6,301 | +4,131 |
| 6 | Stone Leto Gibbs | 5-0, 5 matches | S-TIER | 9,316 | +4,056 |
| 7 | Phoebe Dimmer | 11-1, 12 matches | PRODIGY | 7,122 | +3,982 |
| 8 | Michael Carter Jr | 9-0, 9 matches | PRODIGY | 7,150 | +3,940 |
| 9 | John Torza | 5-0, 5 matches | S-TIER | 8,973 | +3,843 |
| 10 | Ian S Camacho Araujo | 4-0, 4 matches | PRODIGY | 8,509 | +3,799 |
Biggest Drops
These fighters had real ratings and real records on the line. Every name here entered the period above 3,500 Jits with a career win rate above 60%.
| # | Fighter | Career Record | Period Record | Tier | Rating | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaydence Sloan | 29-6 | 5-5 | ELITE | 4,372 | -2,560 |
| 2 | John Luke Hernandez | 53-10 | 0-4 | ELITE | 5,263 | -2,330 |
| 3 | Amon Mathew Presley | 21-7 | 2-3 | ELITE | 4,841 | -1,950 |
| 4 | Gabriel Riccioppo Asenjo | 23-2 | 1-1 | PRODIGY | 5,854 | -1,890 |
| 5 | Elisha Rich | 32-2 | 2-2 | ELITE | 4,736 | -1,770 |
| 6 | Anthony Cardamone | 17-2 | 4-1 | ELITE | 4,336 | -1,700 |
| 7 | Mason Gauge Pavey | 108-38 | 16-6 | ELITE | 6,192 | -1,630 |
| 8 | Lucas Acarie Abel | 25-3 | 1-1 | ELITE | 4,252 | -1,500 |
| 9 | Lawsun Brief | 36-15 | 4-2 | ELITE | 3,512 | -1,370 |
| 10 | Zane Turner | 17-4 | 2-2 | ELITE | 4,987 | -1,220 |
Top Academies
Ranked by S-Tier fighters produced. The academies building the most elite competitors in youth jiu-jitsu right now.
| # | Academy | S-Tier | Fighters | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pablo Silva BJJ | 22 | 399 | 65.3% |
| 2 | Art of Jiu Jitsu | 14 | 177 | 71.1% |
| 3 | Inevat BJJ | 9 | 88 | 72.8% |
| 4 | Asenjo BJJ | 9 | 44 | 71.2% |
| 5 | Sainz Team Alpha Miami | 9 | 67 | 61.1% |
| 6 | Black Tie BJJ | 9 | 106 | 61.9% |
| 7 | Northern Tribe | 7 | 60 | 69.1% |
| 8 | Atos HQ | 7 | 81 | 64.6% |
| 9 | Gracie Barra | 6 | 1,020 | 49.5% |
| 10 | Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes | 5 | 109 | 70.5% |
Register Now
Don't just watch — compete. These tournaments are open for registration right now. Your next rating change starts here.
This Weekend — March 7-8
| Tournament | Org | Location | Registered |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AGF Bossier Championships | AGF | Bossier, LA | 907 |
| 2026 AGF Midland Championships | AGF | Midland, TX | 880 |
| NAGA San Antonio | NAGA | San Antonio, TX | 486 |
| IBJJF Indianapolis Kids International Open | IBJJF | Indianapolis, USA | 266 |
| Newbreed Savannah Spring | NEWBREED | Hardeeville, SC | 213 |
Next Weekend — March 14
| Tournament | Org | Location | Registered |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AGF Oklahoma State Championships | AGF | Oklahoma City, OK | 1,693 |
| JJWL Austin III Gi | JJWL | San Marcos, TX | 448 |
| JJWL Pacific Cup VII NoGi | JJWL | Stockton, CA | 424 |
| JJWL Austin III NoGi | JJWL | San Marcos, TX | 260 |
| NAGA Baltimore | NAGA | Baltimore, MD | 211 |
| 2026 AGF Pittsburgh Championships | AGF | Pittsburgh, PA | 169 |
By The Numbers
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| RANKED MATCHES | 279,050 |
| RATED FIGHTERS | 81,920 |
| TOURNAMENTS THIS CYCLE | 26 |
| ORGANIZATIONS | 7 |
Organizations tracked: JJWL, IBJJF, NAGA, AGF, ADCC, Newbreed, FUJI BJJ.
Rating Model v3
Full rebuild. Every rating recalculated from scratch.
Weight class awareness. The model now detects when a fighter moves up. Win at a higher weight? More credit. Lose up? Cushioned. Absolute and Open divisions too.
Boys are boys and girls are girls. In combined brackets (NAGA, AGF, Newbreed), girls sometimes fight boys. A girl who beats a boy gets properly rewarded. A girl who loses to a boy isn't penalized like she fought another girl.
White belt volume decay. White belt wins count for less the more you accumulate. A 35-0 white belt should've been promoted — the model now places them closer to the belt they're actually at. Grey belt and above: no decay.
Upset accountability. Losses to unproven opponents now cost more for elite fighters. The bigger the record, the bigger the price. David vs Goliath is real — and Goliath should feel it.
Progressive loss cap. One bad tournament can't destroy a career. The model caps how much you can lose from any single match.
Deep bracket credit. Fighting 4+ rounds to win gold in a 16-person bracket counts for more than a 4-person bracket. Silvers in deep brackets get credit for the wins it took to get there.
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