The Roll Up

20 Tournaments. 12,172 Matches. Two Weekends.

Rating Model v3 launches with weight class awareness, upset accountability, and deep bracket credit. Plus the biggest upsets, risers, and drops from 7 organizations.

B
Ben Digital
March 2, 2026 · 6 min read
12,172
MATCHES THIS PERIOD
7
ORGANIZATIONS
81,920
FIGHTERS RATED

This week JITS.GG shipped Rating Model v3 — a full rebuild from scratch. Weight class awareness, mixed gender recognition, white belt volume decay, upset accountability, progressive loss caps, and deep bracket credit. Every rating on the platform changed. Here's who moved.

01
BIGGEST UPSETS

Biggest Upsets

Upsets are the heartbeat of competition. These are the matches where the lower-Jits fighter walked in, looked across at a name with a better record and more Jits, and won anyway. The Jits gap measures the distance between David and Goliath.

#1 — 4,678 Jits gap Malakai Tagarao (1-1, 1,366 Jits) def. Costa Borrelli (51-2, 6,044 Jits) Points — California XI Gi Youth

First tournament. One match on the record. Malakai Tagarao walked into California XI as a complete unknown and beat Costa Borrelli — an S-Tier fighter who was 51-2 at the time. By points.

#2 — 3,592 Jits gap Colton Benjamin Null (42-32, 2,540 Jits) def. Jigen Nagata (72-11, 6,132 Jits) Points — Dallas XIV Gi

Jigen Nagata has 72 wins and 11 losses. That's an 87% win rate built over years. Colton Benjamin Null walked into Dallas XIV with a .568 record and shut him out on points.

#3 — 3,526 Jits gap Jaden Brewster (17-11, 1,436 Jits) def. Jack Richard Mangum (126-33, 4,962 Jits) Win — Austin Winter Kids No-Gi IBJJF

Jack Richard Mangum has 126 career wins. One hundred and twenty-six. Jaden Brewster showed up to IBJJF Austin No-Gi with 17 wins and took him down.

#4 — 3,502 Jits gap Zac Joseph Shaffi (48-15, 2,701 Jits) def. Ian Michel Radea (71-9, 6,203 Jits) Submission — ADCC US Open Portland

Ian Michel Radea's record reads 71-9. Nine losses in 80 matches. Zac Joseph Shaffi made it ten — by submission at ADCC US Open Portland.

#5 — 3,490 Jits gap Maddison Lynn Mattly (74-41, 2,534 Jits) def. Athena Esther Stanev (45-4, 6,024 Jits) Win — Austin Winter Kids IBJJF

Athena Esther Stanev was 45-4. Four losses across her entire career. Maddison Lynn Mattly handed her number five at IBJJF Austin.

#6 — 3,480 Jits gap Aria Van Den Bossche (41-30, 4,022 Jits) def. Charlotte "Tank" Kleintank (104-13, 7,502 Jits) Submission — ADCC US Open Portland

#7 — 3,420 Jits gap Josiah Solano (4-1, 1,913 Jits) def. Tristian Duran-Marquez (41-12, 5,333 Jits) Points — NAGA Denver

#8 — 3,368 Jits gap Sofia Marie Ramirez (35-14, 2,854 Jits) def. Ryla Jaye Knight (113-29, 6,222 Jits) Win — Austin Winter Kids No-Gi IBJJF

#9 — 3,355 Jits gap Giselle Lozoya (9-11, 1,112 Jits) def. Elena Boghouzian (15-3, 4,467 Jits) Points — California XI Gi Youth

#10 — 3,257 Jits gap Camilla Audrey Stone (34-16, 2,766 Jits) def. Makynlee Rayne Gibson (80-17, 6,023 Jits) Points — ADCC US Open Portland

02
BIGGEST RISERS

Biggest Risers

The fighters who gained the most Jits over the last two weekends. Every point earned on the mat — no model adjustments, just competition results.

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Jacob K Slate15-1, 16 matchesS-TIER10,710+4,380
2Nikolai Hynson35-3, 38 matchesELITE5,500+4,270
3Micah Alexander Craioveanu6-0, 6 matchesS-TIER9,002+4,202
4Cain M Cawley4-0, 4 matchesS-TIER9,784+4,184
5Cassidy Lee Hartman13-0, 13 matchesELITE6,301+4,131
6Stone Leto Gibbs5-0, 5 matchesS-TIER9,316+4,056
7Phoebe Dimmer11-1, 12 matchesPRODIGY7,122+3,982
8Michael Carter Jr9-0, 9 matchesPRODIGY7,150+3,940
9John Torza5-0, 5 matchesS-TIER8,973+3,843
10Ian S Camacho Araujo4-0, 4 matchesPRODIGY8,509+3,799
03
BIGGEST DROPS

Biggest Drops

These fighters had real ratings and real records on the line. Every name here entered the period above 3,500 Jits with a career win rate above 60%.

#FighterCareer RecordPeriod RecordTierRatingChange
1Kaydence Sloan29-65-5ELITE4,372-2,560
2John Luke Hernandez53-100-4ELITE5,263-2,330
3Amon Mathew Presley21-72-3ELITE4,841-1,950
4Gabriel Riccioppo Asenjo23-21-1PRODIGY5,854-1,890
5Elisha Rich32-22-2ELITE4,736-1,770
6Anthony Cardamone17-24-1ELITE4,336-1,700
7Mason Gauge Pavey108-3816-6ELITE6,192-1,630
8Lucas Acarie Abel25-31-1ELITE4,252-1,500
9Lawsun Brief36-154-2ELITE3,512-1,370
10Zane Turner17-42-2ELITE4,987-1,220
04
TOP ACADEMIES

Top Academies

Ranked by S-Tier fighters produced. The academies building the most elite competitors in youth jiu-jitsu right now.

#AcademyS-TierFightersWin %
1Pablo Silva BJJ2239965.3%
2Art of Jiu Jitsu1417771.1%
3Inevat BJJ98872.8%
4Asenjo BJJ94471.2%
5Sainz Team Alpha Miami96761.1%
6Black Tie BJJ910661.9%
7Northern Tribe76069.1%
8Atos HQ78164.6%
9Gracie Barra61,02049.5%
10Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes510970.5%
05
REGISTER NOW

Register Now

Don't just watch — compete. These tournaments are open for registration right now. Your next rating change starts here.

This Weekend — March 7-8

TournamentOrgLocationRegistered
2026 AGF Bossier ChampionshipsAGFBossier, LA907
2026 AGF Midland ChampionshipsAGFMidland, TX880
NAGA San AntonioNAGASan Antonio, TX486
IBJJF Indianapolis Kids International OpenIBJJFIndianapolis, USA266
Newbreed Savannah SpringNEWBREEDHardeeville, SC213

Next Weekend — March 14

TournamentOrgLocationRegistered
2026 AGF Oklahoma State ChampionshipsAGFOklahoma City, OK1,693
JJWL Austin III GiJJWLSan Marcos, TX448
JJWL Pacific Cup VII NoGiJJWLStockton, CA424
JJWL Austin III NoGiJJWLSan Marcos, TX260
NAGA BaltimoreNAGABaltimore, MD211
2026 AGF Pittsburgh ChampionshipsAGFPittsburgh, PA169
06
BY THE NUMBERS

By The Numbers

StatValue
RANKED MATCHES279,050
RATED FIGHTERS81,920
TOURNAMENTS THIS CYCLE26
ORGANIZATIONS7

Organizations tracked: JJWL, IBJJF, NAGA, AGF, ADCC, Newbreed, FUJI BJJ.

07
HOW IT WORKS

Rating Model v3

Full rebuild. Every rating recalculated from scratch.

Weight class awareness. The model now detects when a fighter moves up. Win at a higher weight? More credit. Lose up? Cushioned. Absolute and Open divisions too.

Boys are boys and girls are girls. In combined brackets (NAGA, AGF, Newbreed), girls sometimes fight boys. A girl who beats a boy gets properly rewarded. A girl who loses to a boy isn't penalized like she fought another girl.

White belt volume decay. White belt wins count for less the more you accumulate. A 35-0 white belt should've been promoted — the model now places them closer to the belt they're actually at. Grey belt and above: no decay.

Upset accountability. Losses to unproven opponents now cost more for elite fighters. The bigger the record, the bigger the price. David vs Goliath is real — and Goliath should feel it.

Progressive loss cap. One bad tournament can't destroy a career. The model caps how much you can lose from any single match.

Deep bracket credit. Fighting 4+ rounds to win gold in a 16-person bracket counts for more than a 4-person bracket. Silvers in deep brackets get credit for the wins it took to get there.

Share

Get the weekly recap in your inbox

Biggest upsets, rating changes, and competition data every Monday.