The Roll Up

ADCC San Diego Delivers the Season’s Biggest Upset

Nine tournaments, 4,139 matches, five organizations. A 7,295-Jits upset stuns the ADCC US Open, an 8-0 submission sweep in Atlanta, and a 29-win streak falls.

B
Ben Digital
January 20, 2025 · 5 min read
4,139
MATCHES THIS WEEKEND
9
TOURNAMENTS
5
ORGANIZATIONS

Charlotte "Tank" Kleintank of Atos Temecula carries an 8,567 Jits rating into the ADCC US Open in San Diego. She loses twice — once to Alexandra Grace Mun, a 1,272-Jits yellow belt from Watkins Wrecking Crew, by submission. That is a 7,295-Jits gap and a 0.02% win probability. The largest upset of the 2025 season so far, and it is not particularly close.

Nine tournaments across five organizations produce 4,139 matches this weekend. Grappling Industries Denver leads with 981. The ADCC US Open runs 845 no-gi matches at a 67% submission rate. GOOD FIGHT Alabama Winter Open finishes 85% by submission — the highest rate of any tournament this year.

01
STAR PERFORMANCES

Star Performances

CH
Roberto Traven BJJ·8-0 this weekend
+820
JITS GAINED

Eight matches, seven submissions, one points win, gold medal. The grey belt from Roberto Traven BJJ does not leave a match standing unless he chooses to.

GP
+1,100
JITS GAINED

Gold medal at NAGA Lubbock with two submissions and a points win. The largest Jits gain among gold medalists this weekend.

IK
PSBJJ Winston Salem / Lucas Lepri BJJ·5-1 this weekend
+570
JITS GAINED

Gold medal at NAGA Greensboro with five wins in six tries. His teammate Wesley Klejmont pulls three separate upsets over the same opponent at the same tournament.

Cody Haru Truong of Roberto Traven BJJ goes 8-0 at Newbreed Atlanta with seven of his eight wins by submission. Eight matches in one day, seven finishes. The grey belt takes gold and gains +820 Jits, but the weekend's efficiency prize belongs to him regardless of the rating math.

Graham Phillips of Different Breed MMA takes gold at NAGA Lubbock with the highest Jits gain (+1,100) among medalists. At NAGA Greensboro, Wesley Klejmont of PSBJJ Winston Salem submits Mason Gauge Pavey three times in one tournament — across gi and no-gi brackets, closing a 3,600+ Jits gap each time.

02
THE DEEP BRACKETS

The Deep Brackets

JH
Ultimate Submission Academy·12-0 this weekend
+4,760
JITS GAINED

Twelve wins, zero losses across multiple divisions in San Antonio. Climbs to 6,323 Jits and Prodigy tier.

TJ
Kraken BJJ·11-0 this weekend
+4,590
JITS GAINED

Eleven wins in Denver. The yellow belt from Kraken BJJ reaches 4,591 Jits and Prodigy tier.

Jacinto Hernandez III of Ultimate Submission Academy sweeps Grappling Industries San Antonio with a 12-0 weekend — the highest undefeated match count this week. He jumps to 6,323 Jits and Prodigy tier on +4,760 Jits.

At GI Denver, Tayva Juhlin of Kraken BJJ matches the volume with 11-0, and Brixton Stratton grinds through six wins before a 24-win streak finally ends against Amario Montoya. Karson Cosenza and Rhys Araujo each win six straight in their San Antonio brackets.

03
UPSETS AND SURPRISES

Upsets and Surprises

#1 — 7,295-JITS GAP · 0.02% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 ADCC US Open San Diego

A 7,295-Jits gap and a submission finish. The largest upset of the 2025 season.

#2 — 5,994-JITS GAP · 0.1% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 ADCC US Open San Diego

Kleintank falls twice in the same tournament. Freeman, from Atos HQ, submits her in the intermediate bracket.

#3 — 5,510-JITS GAP · 0.2% WIN PROB

Bagaygay of [Lansang BJJ](/academy/lansang-bjj-874) beats a 6,620-Jits Atos HQ fighter by points in the 7-8 advanced bracket.

#4 — 5,504-JITS GAP · 0.2% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 ADCC US Open San Diego

Dietz of [Gracie Barra Morgan Hill](/academy/gracie-barra-morgan-hill-1663) submits a 6,764-Jits opponent in the 7-8 intermediate division.

The ADCC US Open generates the weekend's four largest upsets — all with gaps over 5,000 Jits. Charlotte "Tank" Kleintank alone absorbs two of them, falling to Mun by submission and to Christiana Siene Freeman of Atos HQ by submission on the same day.

The streak-breaking continues. Carlos Rafael Sainz III sees a 29-win streak end at the ADCC US Open when Luca Negro takes him down. Iilahnee Abiang falls at 25-0, Brixton Stratton at 24-0, and Selah Chon at 21-0. Four streaks of 20+ wins broken in a single weekend.

04
ACADEMY REPORT

Academy Report

AcademyFightersMedalsGoldSilverBronze
Ohana Academy (San Antonio)294113208
Art of Jiu Jitsu273726101
Atos HQ233213811
Guetho - Bueno BJJ14251186
Catalyst Jiu-Jitsu1625799
Triumph Fight Academy2021867
Atos Jiu-Jitsu16201145
Victory Combat Sports Academy Lbk10191090
LEAD BJJ11181161
Ruffhouse MMA9185112

Art of Jiu Jitsu converts 26 of 37 medals to gold at the ADCC US Open — a 70% gold rate. That is the most efficient output of any academy this season. Ohana Academy leads in total volume with 41 medals from 29 fighters in San Antonio. Victory Combat Sports Academy runs a zero-bronze operation: 10 golds and 9 silvers from 10 fighters at NAGA Lubbock.

05
TOURNAMENT SCOREBOARD

Tournament Scoreboard

TournamentOrgMatchesSub RateTop AcademyTakeaway
GI DenverGRAPPLING INDUSTRIES98163%Catalyst Jiu-Jitsu (25)Stratton's 24-win streak snapped, Juhlin goes 11-0
ADCC US Open San DiegoADCC84567%Art of Jiu Jitsu (37)Season's biggest upset: 7,295-Jits gap
GI San AntonioGRAPPLING INDUSTRIES69962%Ohana Academy (41)Hernandez goes 12-0, Chon's 21-win streak broken
GI ConnecticutGRAPPLING INDUSTRIES43758%Black Hole Jiu-Jitsu (15)GI's third event runs 437 matches
Newbreed CharlotteNEWBREED32939%Triumph Fight Academy (21)Lowest sub rate of the weekend at 39%
Newbreed AtlantaNEWBREED31850%Union Team BJJ (15)Truong goes 8-0 with 7 subs
NAGA LubbockNAGA29551%Guetho - Bueno BJJ (25)Phillips takes gold, Victory runs 0 bronzes
NAGA GreensboroNAGA16146%Gracie Burlington JJ (16)Klejmont beats Pavey 3 times in 1 tournament
GOOD FIGHT AlabamaGOOD FIGHT7485%Rocket City Revolution (14)85% sub rate, nearly every match finishes
06
RATINGS MOVERS

Monday Ratings Movers

Aleksandra Anderson of The Sanctuary BJJ and Fitness gains +5,300 Jits on a perfect 9-0 weekend — the biggest single-weekend move across all nine tournaments. The blue belt climbs to 3,675 Jits at Elite tier.

Jacinto Hernandez III turns that 12-0 sweep in San Antonio into +4,760 Jits, reaching 6,323 at Prodigy tier. Laura Elizabeth Kotcher of Logic goes 7-0 for +4,680 Jits. On the drops side, Cael Henderson of Madhouse BJJ takes the hardest fall: -2,620 Jits on a 3-5 weekend.

Risers

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Aleksandra Anderson9-0Elite3,675+5,300
2Jacinto Hernandez III12-0Prodigy6,323+4,760
3Laura Elizabeth Kotcher7-0Elite2,919+4,680
4Tayva Juhlin11-0Prodigy4,591+4,590
5Grant Thomas Geisinger5-0Elite2,760+4,580
6Brianna Nicole Rice7-0Elite3,056+4,550
7Jayden Portillo Khoury6-0Elite3,059+4,360
8Tristan Haynes7-0Advanced2,098+4,250
9Aron Kuci8-0Elite2,969+4,200
10Annelise Van-Truong6-1Advanced3,358+4,080

Drops

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Cael Henderson3-5Novice2,034-2,620
2Sarah Lesnicki0-4Advanced2,219-2,590
3Jt Sciarra1-4Elite4,046-2,280
4Charlotte Smith0-4Elite2,942-2,240
5Mila Noda0-4Prodigy5,363-2,130
07
LOOKING AHEAD

Looking Ahead

Three weekends into January and the season has already produced a 7,295-Jits upset, a 49-win streak broken, and a tournament with an 85% submission rate. The ADCC US Open confirms what the Grappling Industries circuit has been hinting: the West Coast youth divisions are deep enough to produce upsets that would be statistically rare anywhere else. When you stack 845 no-gi matches in a single venue, something breaks.

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