TournamentADCC US Open - Portland, OR - Feb 2026

[ grey / Youth ]

Lukas Nelson

Jits

2,602Elite

~498 Jits to Prodigy

-510Last event: Feb 21, 2026

#8,289

Overall

Top 9%

Percentile

#3,642

grey Belt

Record

56-3264% Win Rate

56 Wins32 Losses

1-4 Last 5

Trophy Case

8 GoldGrappling Industries 7 · NAGA 1

GRAPPLING INDUSTRIES WASHINGTON STATE NO-GIJan 17, 2026

GRAPPLING INDUSTRIES WASHINGTON STATE GIJan 17, 2026

GRAPPLING INDUSTRIES WASHINGTON STATE GINov 29, 2025

NAGA WASHINGTON II NO-GISep 27, 2025

GRAPPLING INDUSTRIES WASHINGTON STATE GIAug 10, 2025

GRAPPLING INDUSTRIES PORTLAND GIJun 28, 2025

GRAPPLING INDUSTRIES WASHINGTON STATE GIApr 26, 2025

GRAPPLING INDUSTRIES WASHINGTON STATE NO-GIApr 26, 2025

Fighter Intelligence

14 Tournaments

Medals

17Medals

across 14 tournaments

Gold 8

Silver 5

Bronze 4

47% Gold Rate

Belt Avg 34%

What this means47% of tournament entries result in gold — 13 points above the belt average. Strong medal conversion with room to grow.

Finishing Ability

60%

Subs

Submission 33

Points 19

Other 3

Belt Avg 62%

-2 pts vs belt avg

What this means60% of wins by submission — 2 points below the belt average. This fighter has elite finishing ability for their rank.

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Advanced Analytics

AI Calculated

Growth Trajectory

DVI

Building Momentum

Winning more than losing — building momentum

Growing faster than 60% of peers

Win Quality

Overachiever

Clutch Score: +11.8%

Upset Wins

Close Wins

Losses

Best win: Beat Eli Iraheta (3291 pts higher)

87 matches analyzed

Format Split

GI SPECIALIST

43 Gi41 NoGi

30W-13L70%

NoGi

24W-17L59%

Sub Rate

Gi 37%NoGi 41%

11% win rate delta — Gi stronger

Segment Analysis

Malegrey BeltAges 8-929,089 Fighters

Comparing to 29,089 grey belt fighters

Win Rate

63%avg 65%

AVG

Sub Rate

60%avg 62%

AVG

Gold Rate

43%avg 34%

AVG

+9 pts vs avg

What This Means

Ranked #3642 of 29,089 grey belts. 63% win rate across 87 matches.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter History

84 matches

Result	Method	Fighter	JITS	Academy	Bracket	Tournament	Format	Date
L	SUB	Shiloh Westin Middleton	6641-70	Flow Grappling Academy	- Boys [7-8 Years] · Intermediate · 32kg	ADCCUS Open - Portland	Gi	Feb 21, 2026
L	SUB	Zayn Jaber	7311-50	Pimenta Jiu Jitsu	- Boys [7-8 Years] · Intermediate · 32kg	ADCCUS Open - Portland	Gi	Feb 21, 2026
L	SUB	Elliott Hawkins	2350-300	Brazilian Top Team Happy Valley	- Boys [7-8 Years] · Intermediate · 36kg	ADCCUS Open - Portland	Gi	Feb 21, 2026
L	SUB	Alexander Vladimirovich Pilipenko	5630-90	Carlson Gracie Team	- Boys [7-8 Years] · Intermediate · 36kg	ADCCUS Open - Portland	Gi	Feb 21, 2026
W	SUB	Joel JR Villasana	1164+120	Melvin Revilla Brazilian Jiu Jitsu USA	Grey No Gi Kids · Intermediate · 6 - 7 Years · -65 Lbs	GRAPGrappling Industries WASHINGTON STATE	NoGi	Jan 17, 2026
W	SUB	Indy Irvine	2220+160	Sleeper Jiu Jitsu	Grey No Gi Kids · Intermediate · 6 - 7 Years · -65 Lbs	GRAPGrappling Industries WASHINGTON STATE	NoGi	Jan 17, 2026
W	SUB	Evelyn Swanson	1472+90	Melvin Revilla Brazilian Jiu Jitsu USA	Grey No Gi Kids · Intermediate · 6 - 7 Years · -65 Lbs	GRAPGrappling Industries WASHINGTON STATE	NoGi	Jan 17, 2026
W	PTS	Aibrean Breikss	1202+50	Gracie Barra Tacoma	Grey No Gi Kids · Intermediate · 6 - 7 Years · -65 Lbs	GRAPGrappling Industries WASHINGTON STATE	NoGi	Jan 17, 2026
W	SUB	Joel JR Villasana	1164+110	Melvin Revilla Brazilian Jiu Jitsu USA	Grey No Gi Kids · Intermediate · 6 - 7 Years · -65 Lbs	GRAPGrappling Industries WASHINGTON STATE	NoGi	Jan 17, 2026
W	PTS	Vladimir Saiyan	2680+120	Royal MMA	Grey Gi Kids · Grey · 6 - 7 Years · -65 Lbs	GRAPGrappling Industries WASHINGTON STATE	Gi	Jan 17, 2026

From ON GUARD BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU

Rival Fighters

Joel Jr Villasana.jits

Melvin Revilla Brazilian Jiu Jitsu USA

H2H4-1

Eli Iraheta.jits

Team Wise

H2H3-1

Thomas McManus.jits

Gravity Lab Jiu Jitsu

H2H3-1

VLADIMIR SAIYAN.jits

Royal MMA

H2H3-0

Scouting Report

ON GUARD BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU →

Data Sources

Matches84

Placements17

Tournaments14

Medals🥇 8🥈 5🥉 4

Sources

ADCCGRAPNAGAIBJJF

First MatchJan 2025

Last MatchFeb 2026

Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.

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About

Lukas Nelson is a Grey belt from ON GUARD BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU competing across 14 matches. His 83% submission rate ranks 38 points above the belt average of 45%, placing him in the top 17% of Grey belts—a dominant finishing rate that defines his competitive identity. In 5 tournaments, Nelson has earned 1 gold, 4 silver, and 1 bronze medal for a 6-medal haul. Nelson's 6 competitive wins came against higher-rated opponents, including a notable victory over Alex Schirliu (432-point rating gap).

His DVI trend shows holding_steady at +183.3 pts/month, ranking in the 90th percentile for development velocity among his peer group. Competing across ADCC and NAGA organizations, Nelson maintains a 1650 rating in gi (8 matches) versus 1410 in no-gi (10 matches), indicating stronger technical performance in the traditional format.

Frequently Asked Questions

Lukas Nelson has a 55-32 competition record across 87 matches in 14 tournaments.

Lukas Nelson is ranked #8289 overall and #3642 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.

Lukas Nelson has earned 8 gold, 5 silver, 4 bronze medals across 14 tournaments.

Lukas Nelson trains at ON GUARD BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU and competes as a grey belt.

Lukas Nelson has a 60% submission rate and a 63% win rate across 87 matches.

Lukas Nelson is ranked #3642 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.

Lukas Nelson's current Jits rating is 2602. Use the Rating Simulator on Lukas Nelson's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.