Jits.GG
TeamFTCC LV
TournamentOrange County Winter Kids International Open IBJJF Jiu-Jitsu Championship 2026 - Mar 2026
[ grey / youth ]CA

Brander Carter Esteban Bagay

Jits
1,644Advanced
~256 Jits to Elite
+60Last event: Mar 1, 2026
#26,256
Overall
Top 29%
Percentile
#9,174
grey Belt
Record
26-2848% Win Rate
26 Wins28 Losses
W
L
W
L
W
3-2 Last 5

Trophy Case

4 GoldIBJJF 2 · AGF 2

The Roll Up

Weekend MVPJun 21, 2025

Tournament MVP (4-0) — 3 SUB, 1 PTS, +1170 Jits

2025 AGF Las Vegas ChampionshipsThe Roll Up →

Fighter Intelligence

13 Tournaments
Medals
15Medals
across 13 tournaments
Gold 4
Silver 5
Bronze 6
27% Gold Rate
Belt Avg 40%
What this means27% of tournament entries result in gold — 13 points below the belt average. Still building a medal collection at this level.
Finishing Ability
58%
Subs
Submission 14
Points 10
Other 0
Belt Avg 59%
-1 pts vs belt avg
What this means58% of wins by submission — 1 points below the belt average. Solid finishing ability with room to grow.

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Advanced Analytics

AI Calculated

Growth Trajectory

DVI
Building New Foundation
Building a new foundation
Growing faster than 10% of peers

Win Quality

Consistent
Clutch Score: +2.0%
25
Close Wins
27
Losses
Best win: Beat Aaron Nepomuceno (1627 pts higher)
52 matches analyzed

Format Split

BALANCED
28 Gi24 NoGi
Gi
13W-15L46%
NoGi
12W-12L50%
Sub Rate
Gi 21%NoGi 33%
4% win rate delta — NoGi stronger

Segment Analysis

Malegrey BeltAges 10-1129,089 Fighters
Comparing to 29,089 grey belt fighters
Win Rate
48%avg 67%
AVG
-18 pts vs avg
Sub Rate
58%avg 59%
AVG
Gold Rate
25%avg 40%
AVG
-15 pts vs avg
What This Means

Win rate tracks at 48% for grey belt. 52 matches and counting.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter History

52 matches
ResultMethodFighterJITSAcademyBracketVideoTournamentFormatDate
W-
Matthew Steven Castleberry
1016+110
Ares BJJ
Grey
Junior 2 · Rooster
IBJJFOrange County Winter Kids
GiMar 1, 2026
L-
Ethan Brock Genest
5753-50
Gracie Humaita Valencia
Grey
Junior 2 · Rooster
IBJJFOrange County Winter Kids
GiMar 1, 2026
WPTS
Nahoa Ora-a
1092+100
Roma Jiu Jitsu Academy
Grey
Intermediate · 10-11 · 60-70
NAGAHawaii Kids II
NoGiNov 8, 2025
LSUB
Elijah Pape
4763-150
Hnl Jiu Jitsu
Grey
Intermediate · 10-11 · 60-70
NAGAHawaii Kids II
NoGiNov 8, 2025
WSUB
Ian Inouye
1013+120
Art of Groundstrike BJJ
Grey
Intermediate · 10-11 · 50-60
NAGAHawaii Kids II
GiNov 8, 2025
LDEC
Peyton Sison
1562-260
Six Blades Jiu-jitsu Maui
Grey
Intermediate · 10-11 · 50-60
NAGAHawaii Kids II
GiNov 8, 2025
LSUB
Brody Gunner Coray
7168-
Tac Team BJJ
Grey
10-11 Years · Grey · - 65lbs
UNITEDUnited Grappling in Las Vegas October 11th
NoGiOct 11, 2025
LSUB
Brody Gunner Coray
7168-
Tac Team BJJ
Grey
10-11 Years · Grey · - 65lbs
UNITEDUnited Grappling in Las Vegas October 11th
NoGiOct 11, 2025
LSUB
Brody Gunner Coray
7168-
Tac Team BJJ
Grey
10-11 Years · Grey · - 65lbs
UNITEDUnited Grappling in Las Vegas October 11th
GiOct 11, 2025
LSUB
Brody Gunner Coray
7168-
Tac Team BJJ
Grey
10-11 Years · Grey · - 65lbs
UNITEDUnited Grappling in Las Vegas October 11th
GiOct 11, 2025

From FTCC LV

See all →
Ayumi Jayne Pulido
Ayumi Jayne Pulido
5,067
24-8 · 46% SUB
Riley Leyva
3,492
5-1 · 60% SUB
Dom Rodriguez
2,993
6-7 · 83% SUB
Marie Sowa
2,960
5-2 · 60% SUB
Carson Sheridan
2,274
12-4 · 67% SUB
Jere Baines
1,965
3-2 · 67% SUB
David Caradine
1,157
0-1 · 0% SUB
Skye Blomberg
1,148
8-21 · 63% SUB

Rival Fighters

AN

Aaron Nepomuceno.jits

Atos LV

H2H3-5
HS

Hryhorii Sukhenko.jits

Ground Zero Martial Arts

H2H4-1
BC

Brody Gunner Coray.jits

TAC Team BJJ

H2H0-4
KL

Keanu Liaga.jits

The Academy / HoneybadgerBJJ

H2H3-0
LC

Levi Michael Conzachi.jits

Carlson Gracie Henderson

H2H0-3
Scouting Report
Data Sources
Matches52
Placements15
Tournaments13
Medals🥇 4🥈 5🥉 6
Sources
IBJJFNAGAUNITEDGRAPAGF
First MatchFeb 2025
Last MatchMar 2026

Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.

FloGrappling Videos

Elite fighters may have match videos on Flograppling. A subscription is required to view.

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About

Brander Carter Esteban Bagay is a Grey belt from FTCC LV (CA) competing at the Veteran tier with a 2460 JITS Rating and #2570 belt rank. His 57% submission rate ranks 12 points above the Grey belt average of 45%, placing him in the top 12% of his peers. Across 6 tournaments, he has earned 4 gold medals, 2 silver, and 2 bronze—a 50% gold rate that doubles the 30% belt average.

All 7 of Brander's wins came against higher-rated opponents, including an upset victory over Aaron Nepomuceno (−12pt gap). His Development Velocity Index sits at +2.7 pts/month, placing him in the 75th percentile for momentum among Grey belts. He competes across AGF and NAGA organizations, with a notable 1500 rating in Gi (8 matches) compared to 1100 in No-Gi (6 matches), indicating stronger technical performance in the traditional format.

Frequently Asked Questions

Brander Carter Esteban Bagay has a 25-27 competition record across 52 matches in 12 tournaments.
Brander Carter Esteban Bagay is ranked #26256 overall and #9174 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Brander Carter Esteban Bagay has earned 4 gold, 4 silver, 6 bronze medals across 12 tournaments.
Brander Carter Esteban Bagay trains at FTCC LV and competes as a grey belt.
Brander Carter Esteban Bagay has a 58% submission rate and a 48% win rate across 52 matches.
Brander Carter Esteban Bagay is ranked #9174 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Brander Carter Esteban Bagay's current Jits rating is 1644. Use the Rating Simulator on Brander Carter Esteban Bagay's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.