The Roll Up

Luke Sias Falls Twice in Frisco

Thirteen tournaments, 4,715 matches, seven organizations. The weekend’s highest-rated competitor loses back-to-back on points, and three win streaks of 17 or more snap across Arizona and Texas.

B
Ben Digital
June 23, 2025 · 5 min read
4,715
MATCHES THIS WEEKEND
13
TOURNAMENTS
7
ORGANIZATIONS

Luke Sias of SIA Plano enters the USA Open V Nogi Youth in Frisco, Texas, rated at 5,873 Jits — the highest-rated competitor on any mat this weekend. Isaiah Rodriguez of All American MMA beats him 2-0 on points: a 4,833-Jits gap and a 0.4% win probability. The next day at USA Open V Gi Youth, Thatcher Henry of Argyle Jiu Jitsu does it again. Another 2-0 on points, another gap north of 4,000 Jits. Two losses. Same score. Different opponents.

Thirteen tournaments across seven organizations produce 4,715 matches this weekend. The USA Open V Gi Youth in Frisco draws 1,014 competitors and 992 matches alone — the largest single-event field of the summer so far. AZBJJL - 2025 AZ State Championship adds 465 from Mesa, and NAGA South Florida runs 402 in Wellington.

01
STAR PERFORMANCES

Star Performances

EF
Grove City Brazilian Jiu Jitsu Academy·9-0 this weekend
+1,930
JITS GAINED

Nine wins, zero losses, gold medal. One submission and eight points wins at [AGF Columbus](/tournaments/2025-agf-columbus-oh-championships-2467). The highest match volume of any undefeated fighter this weekend. Nine opponents, nine answers.

SB
Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes·5-0 this weekend
+1,610
JITS GAINED

Five wins, three by submission, gold medal in Coral Springs. Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes sends 16 fighters and takes home 26 medals — Buitrago leads the charge.

BA
American Top Team Aventura NMB·4-0 this weekend
+1,620
JITS GAINED

Gold medal in Wellington with a balanced path: two submissions and two points wins. Arrives at 2,380 Jits and leaves at 4,000 — the kind of weekend that changes a trajectory.

JM
CJJF Prosper·2-0 this weekend
+2,300
JITS GAINED

Two matches, two submissions, the largest single-weekend Jits gain among all MVPs. Sometimes two wins tell a cleaner story than nine.

The weekend’s nine-win run belongs to Evan Freetage. He sweeps the AGF Columbus field with a methodical points-heavy approach — eight of nine wins come on the scoreboard, only one by submission. That kind of consistency over nine consecutive matches is difficult to sustain. Most fighters who win nine in a day lean on submissions to shorten the later rounds. Freetage grinds every one of them out.

Down in Coral Springs, Santiago Buitrago goes 5-0 at the Newbreed U.S. Championship with a three-submission, two-points split. His academy, Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes, finishes the weekend with a 73% gold rate — 19 golds from 26 total medals. That is not depth. That is control.

02
THE DEEP BRACKETS

The Deep Brackets

CR
Oneonta Academy of Jiu jitsu·9-2 this weekend
+4,980
JITS GAINED

Wins five straight in the Gi Kids Grey 8-9 bracket, then enters more divisions and finishes the day 9-2 with 11 total matches. The highest match count of any fighter at Saratoga Springs.

BM
Unity Jiu Jitsu Grand Rapids·5-win bracket sweep
4,924
RATING

Five consecutive wins in the No Gi Kids White 6-7 bracket, then five more in Gi. A 4,924-Jits white belt sweeping two formats at age six or seven.

Grappling Industries Saratoga Springs runs 317 matches and produces three five-win bracket sweeps among kids. Colin Raner and Joachim Gonopolskiy, both grey belts from Oneonta Academy of Jiu jitsu, each win five straight in their respective 8-9 divisions. Philip Ragusa of Hamptons Jiujitsu does the same in No Gi Kids Grey 8-9 — and he enters at 8,254 Jits, making him the highest-rated fighter in the bracket by a wide margin.

At Grand Rapids, Bennett Marquard sweeps two brackets. Miles Aramburu of Unity Jiu Jitsu Grand Rapids wins four straight in Gi Kids White 6-7. Two academies from the same city producing bracket-sweeping six-year-olds. The Grand Rapids youth scene is deeper than its 194 match count suggests.

03
UPSETS AND SURPRISES

Upsets and Surprises

#1 — 4,833-JITS GAP · 0.4% WIN PROB
Points (2-0) \u2014 USA Open V Nogi Youth

Rodriguez enters at 1,040 Jits. Sias enters at 5,873. The scoreboard reads 2-0. The probability model gave Rodriguez a 0.4% chance. He took it.

#2 — 4,343-JITS GAP · 0.7% WIN PROB
Points (2-0) \u2014 USA Open V Gi Youth

Same loser, same score, different day. Henry closes a 4,343-Jits gap the day after Rodriguez closes a 4,833-Jits one. Sias loses both matches by the same margin.

#3 — 3,110-JITS GAP · 2.7% WIN PROB
Decision (0-0) \u2014 USA Open V Nogi Youth

Cohn outranks Pina by belt but trails by 3,110 Jits. A scoreless decision goes his way. Two All American MMA fighters in the top three upsets of the weekend.

#4 — 2,660-JITS GAP · 4.5% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 NAGA South Florida

The weekend’s only top-four upset that finishes by submission. Halum closes a 2,660-Jits gap in the Children Gi Expert division at NAGA South Florida.

The Sias double is the story, but the streak-breaker column runs deeper. Mila Lee Buendia of Northern Tribe enters the USA Open Nogi at 24-0 and falls to Layla Nour Eljazouli, an 8,183-Jits fighter who outrates her by 1,496 Jits. Luke Segura of Marcio Andre BJJ sees his 21-win streak end at the Arizona IV Gi Youth when Liam James Canaday hands him his second career loss. And Ghael Caicedo of Gracie Barra North Phoenix drops a 19-win streak to Arthur Diniz Lionete at the same tournament. Three win streaks of 19 or more, all broken in the same weekend.

04
ACADEMY REPORT

Academy Report

AcademyFightersMedalsGoldSilverBronze
Alliance NEBJJ193111119
TEAM JUCAO USA202911126
Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes16261952
Lotus Club51261655
Ethos Martial Arts AZ20265813

Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes matches Lotus Club and Ethos Martial Arts AZ at 26 total medals — but does it with 16 fighters instead of 51 or 20. That is a 1.63 medals per fighter rate. And 19 of those 26 medals are gold. Alliance NEBJJ leads the weekend outright with 31 medals from Grappling Industries Saratoga Springs, where they are the top academy by a comfortable margin.

05
TOURNAMENT SCOREBOARD

Tournament Scoreboard

TournamentOrgMatchesSub RateTop AcademyTakeaway
USA Open V Gi YouthJJWL99251%All American MMA (6)1,014 competitors, largest field this weekend
Arizona IV Gi YouthJJWL50056%Lotus Club (22)Segura and Caicedo streaks fall
AZBJJL AZ StateAZBJJL46559%Ethos Martial Arts AZ (26)Mesa’s state championship draws 59% sub rate
USA Open V Nogi YouthJJWL43460%Alex Martins BJJ (1)Sias upset, Buendia’s 24-win streak falls
NAGA South FloridaNAGA40250%Gracie Barra Jupiter (19)Halum pulls 2,660-Jits upset by submission
Newbreed U.S. ChampionshipNewbreed37749%Rilion Gracie Miami Lakes (24)Buitrago goes 5-0, Rilion collects 24 medals
Arizona IV NoGi YouthJJWL32565%Jay Pages Jiu Jitsu (5)65% sub rate, highest of any 300+ match event
GI Saratoga SpringsGI31753%Alliance NEBJJ (31)Three five-win bracket sweeps in kids divisions
NAGA ConnecticutNAGA28247%Teixeira MMA (24)Teixeira MMA leads with 24 medals
PBJJF Pan AmericanPBJJF22446%The Mount BJJ (17)Maryland’s Pan Am draws 224 matches
06
RATINGS MOVERS

Monday Ratings Movers

Lilly Harding gains +6,610 Jits on a perfect 4-0 weekend — the largest single-weekend Glicko-2 move across all thirteen tournaments. She enters unrated and exits at 2,733 Jits. Ben Bitton of V.R.M.A / Fight Sports goes 6-0 for +6,390 Jits, and Maile Mauga of All American MMA completes a 5-0 weekend for +6,020 Jits to reach Prodigy tier at 4,401 Jits. On the drops side, Royce Cerrato of Iron Lion Team takes the hardest fall: -3,020 Jits on a 2-3 weekend, sliding from 5,223 to 2,203.

Risers

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Lilly Harding4-0Elite2,733+6,610
2Ben Bitton6-0Elite3,667+6,390
3Maile Mauga5-0Prodigy4,401+6,020
4Jamison Mahaffey3-1Elite2,568+5,290
5Steven Felice5-0Elite2,219+5,180
6Cristian Salgado4-0Elite2,602+5,080
7Colin Raner9-2Elite3,374+4,980
8Kyle Haynes4-0Elite2,770+4,930
9Warner Barth5-0Prospect2,004+4,740
10Davi Braga3-0Elite2,725+4,720

Drops

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Royce Cerrato2-3Advanced2,203-3,020
2Ben Hepworth0-5Novice2,050-2,570
3Sebastian Sibug1-6Elite2,474-2,420
4Daniel Veiga2-3Elite3,236-2,290
5Cesar Martinez1-1Elite3,951-2,250
07
LOOKING AHEAD

Looking Ahead

The JJWL circuit continues next weekend with events in multiple states. AGF and NAGA keep their usual multi-city pace, while Grappling Industries and Newbreed fill in the calendar. After a 4,715-match weekend, the pipeline does not slow down. The summer season is here.

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