The Roll Up

De Souza Submits Last Week’s Star in a 5,550-Jits Upset

Fourteen tournaments, eight organizations, 6,105 matches. A 0.2% upset in Mid Florida, three 30-plus win streaks broken, and Art of Jiu Jitsu posts a 67% gold rate.

B
Ben Digital
October 6, 2025 · 5 min read
6,105
MATCHES THIS WEEKEND
14
TOURNAMENTS
8
ORGANIZATIONS

Two weeks ago, Alex Lee Trejo gained +7,360 Jits at JJWL Florida X — the largest single-tournament move of that weekend. This week, Vinicius De Souza of Checkmat submits him at Newbreed Mid Florida, closing a 5,550-Jits gap with a 0.2% win probability. The sport has a short memory.

Fourteen tournaments across eight organizations produce 6,105 matches this weekend. JJWL San Diego XVII Gi leads with 1,153. October opens at full volume.

01
STAR PERFORMANCES

Star Performances

VD
Checkmat·6-0 this weekend
+4,130
JITS GAINED

Six submissions in six matches. Finishes every opponent, including the weekend’s largest upset -- a 5,550-Jits takedown of Alex Lee Trejo.

SG
Silverback BJJ FW·3-0 this weekend
+5,110
JITS GAINED

Gold medal at JJWL Austin. Her path runs through Jade Bezek of Pablo Silva BJJ, a 2,820-Jits upset decided by decision.

GK
Ozark Mountain BJJ·3-1 this weekend
+4,210
JITS GAINED

Takes gold despite a loss to Abigail Cummings of Dynasty Jiu Jitsu -- a 4,610-Jits upset by submission. Recovers to finish the weekend with two subs and a points win.

JC
2-0 this weekend
+3,860
JITS GAINED

Two submissions, gold medal. Breaks Martin Simonyan’s 23-win streak along the way.

Vinicius De Souza enters Newbreed Mid Florida rated 2,810 Jits. He exits at 5,130 after going 6-0 with all six wins by submission. The headline result — catching Alex Lee Trejo at 8,360 Jits — is a 5,550-Jits gap, the widest upset across all fourteen tournaments this weekend.

Grace Keeler has an interesting weekend at AGF Springfield. She takes gold but also appears on both the MVP and the upset-victim lists — Abigail Cummings submits her in a 4,610-Jits gap before she recovers.

02
THE DEEP BRACKETS

The Deep Brackets

Grappling Industries Detroit produces the deepest brackets of the weekend. Mason Thomas Mahlock of LEAD BJJ runs two separate six-win brackets in different divisions. Justus Slusher of Unity Jiu Jitsu Grand Rapids, Mitchell McMurray of Iron and Soul Jujitsu, and Arber Dembogaj Beyer of RCC each go six deep as well. McMurray's run is notable — he breaks Mitchell McMurray's own 18-win streak in the same tournament.

At Grappling Industries New Jersey, Terran Sarmiento of Round Table BJJ wins six straight for the second consecutive weekend — he did the same at DMV last week. Roman Tenorio of Crown BJJ runs six deep at United Grappling Salt Lake City.

03
UPSETS AND SURPRISES

Upsets and Surprises

#1 — 5,550-JITS GAP · 0.2% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 Newbreed Mid Florida

Trejo gained +7,360 Jits two weeks ago. De Souza submits him. The sport resets fast.

#2 — 5,190-JITS GAP · 0.3% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 NAGA Los Angeles II

Rivera submits an 8,300-Jits grey belt. Two sub-1% upsets by submission on the same weekend.

#3 — 4,610-JITS GAP · 0.5% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 AGF Springfield

Cummings submits the eventual gold medalist. Keeler recovers to win the tournament anyway.

Three upsets above 4,500 Jits this weekend, all by submission. The top two both break the 1% win probability barrier.

On the streak-breaking front: Nathan Reyes (37-0) falls to Armenak Garayan at NAGA Los Angeles II. Aubrey Coppini (35-0) drops to Ellisa Erica Nieves at JJWL San Diego XVII. Yasin Abdelrasoul (33-0) loses to Rowan Giaretta at Newbreed Chicago. Three more 30-plus streaks gone. September took the 50-win runs; October is clearing the 30s.

04
ACADEMY REPORT

Academy Report

AcademyFightersMedalsGoldSilverBronze
Pablo Silva BJJ686335226
One Jiu Jitsu HQ594521168
Atos HQ474121164
Art of Jiu Jitsu43392676
KDMMA293822124

Art of Jiu Jitsu posts the most striking ratio of the weekend: 26 golds from 43 fighters — a 60% gold-to-medal rate and a 67% gold rate relative to total medals. KDMMA runs 22 golds from 29 fighters at NAGA Los Angeles II. Pablo Silva BJJ leads in raw volume with 63 medals across the JJWL Austin double-header.

05
TOURNAMENT SCOREBOARD

Tournament Scoreboard

TournamentOrgMatchesSub RateTop AcademyTakeaway
JJWL San Diego GiJJWL1,15357%One JJ HQ (40)Coppini (35-0) and Lepouski (23-0) streaks fall
GI New JerseyGrappling Industries71462%Method JJ (22)Sarmiento wins 6 straight for second week running
GI DetroitGrappling Industries67761%Great Lakes BJJ (16)Five six-win bracket runs, Mahlock does it twice
AGF SpringfieldAGF44556%Westside BJJ (32)Cummings submits eventual champ Keeler
Grappling X TemeculaGrappling X43153%Fight Syndicate MMA (21)Solid mid-size field in southern California
JJWL Austin GiJJWL41955%Pablo Silva BJJ (46)Guerrero takes gold, +5,110 Jits
NAGA Philadelphia IINAGA40740%Martinez BJJ (26)Lowest sub rate of the weekend
NAGA Los Angeles IINAGA39956%KDMMA (35)Rivera's 5,190-Jits upset, Reyes (37-0) falls
Newbreed Mid FloridaNewbreed38551%Genesis BJJ Center (19)De Souza goes 6-0, all subs, 5,550-Jits upset
JJWL San Diego NoGiJJWL32660%Atos HQ (15)Atos controls San Diego home turf
TCO AustinTCO27858%Johns Gym Georgetown (16)Charity event with 278 matches
JJWL Austin NoGiJJWL18260%Pablo Silva BJJ (17)Pablo Silva doubles up across Austin events
United SLCUnited16961%GB Utah (23)Tenorio runs 6-win bracket at Fightcon Expo
Newbreed ChicagoNewbreed12038%3D Martial Arts (10)Abdelrasoul (33-0) falls, lowest sub rate
06
RATINGS MOVERS

Monday Ratings Movers

Vinicius De Souza gains +9,110 Jits on a perfect 6-0 weekend at Newbreed Mid Florida. Six wins, all submissions, and a jump to 4,394 Jits — the biggest single-weekend Glicko-2 move across all fourteen tournaments.

Artur Landkof follows with 5-0 and +8,550 Jits. Sérgio Almeida goes 6-0 for +8,260 Jits and reaches S-Tier at 7,326 Jits. On the drops side, Alex Lee Trejo takes the hardest fall: -4,660 Jits on a 1-3 weekend — a complete reversal from his +7,360 Jits gain two weeks ago.

Risers

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Vinicius De Souza6-0Prodigy4,394+9,110
2Artur Landkof5-0Prodigy3,956+8,550
3Sérgio Almeida6-0S-Tier7,326+8,260
4Jacob Nowicki5-0Elite3,155+7,100
5Xavier Isaac Springer4-0Prodigy3,979+7,070
6Charlie Woolstenhulme5-1Prodigy3,433+6,980
7Jayden Salgado6-0Elite3,608+6,910
8Bashar Timani4-0Elite2,917+6,390
9Brennon Skilling4-0Elite2,683+6,280
10Diego Rivera3-0Prodigy4,323+6,190

Drops

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Alex Lee Trejo1-3Elite4,323-4,660
2Troy Alexander Zamora0-2Elite4,462-3,540
3Zaynalabidn Charara4-3Elite2,470-3,470
4Chloe Borders1-3Elite4,179-3,130
5Elijah Montes0-4Advanced2,133-3,110
07
LOOKING AHEAD

Looking Ahead

Alex Lee Trejo's arc tells the story of October's first weekend. A +7,360 Jits gain in September. A -4,660 drop in October, kicked off by a submission loss to a fighter rated 5,550 Jits below him. The Glicko-2 system is honest — it remembers everything and forgives nothing. Three more 30-plus win streaks fell this weekend, continuing the September-October correction that has now claimed twelve such streaks in three weeks.

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