A 4,491-Jits Upset Anchors Newbreed Worlds
Seven tournaments, 3,035 matches, four organizations. Newbreed Worlds produces 925 matches, a 40-win streak snaps, and ODINS HALLS BJJ collects 50 medals in Vegas.
Adrian Cesar Hernandez, rated at 1,210 Jits, beats Alaiya Rose Robinson — a 5,701-Jits grey belt — on points at the Newbreed World Jiu Jitsu Championship. A 4,491-Jits gap. A 0.6% win probability. The weekend's widest upset by a factor of two.
Seven tournaments across four organizations produce 3,035 matches this weekend. The Newbreed World Championship leads with 925. Grappling Industries New York City adds 830, and NAGA Vegas Kids runs 572 at a 48% submission rate.
Star Performances
Six wins -- three submissions, three on points -- and gold. The highest match count among all MVPs this weekend.
Four submissions, zero points victories. Every match ends early. Gold medal.
Four submissions in four matches at NAGA Buffalo. Reaches Prodigy tier at 4,103 Jits.
Julian Fabian Jr runs through six opponents at NAGA Vegas with a split of three submissions and three points wins. The kind of balanced attack that suggests a fighter comfortable finishing when the opening appears and grinding when it does not.
Ellie Michelle Mendoza takes a different approach at the same event: four matches, four submissions, no scorecards needed. At NAGA Buffalo, Mackey Malak mirrors Mendoza’s efficiency — four submissions in four matches, jumping to Prodigy tier with +5,040 Jits on the weekly ratings.
The Deep Brackets
Grappling Industries New York City again produces the weekend’s deepest individual runs through its round-robin format. Three fighters win six straight in their divisions: Steven Caturano, Nicola Armando Petruccelli, and Danny Lightfoot.
Philipp Kröner takes the broader view — eleven wins and one loss across the tournament, good for +6,760 Jits and a jump to Prodigy tier. At GI San Diego, the field is smaller at 238 matches, but the submission rate holds at 55%.
Upsets and Surprises
The weekend’s widest upset by a factor of two. Hernandez enters at 1,210 Jits, Robinson at 5,701. He wins on points.
Gutierrez submits Makarov to end a 40-win streak. Then submits Robinson too, closing a 2,501-Jits gap in the same tournament.
Gama edges Albano by decision at Newbreed Worlds. A 2,550-Jits gap closed without a submission.
Newbreed Worlds is a streak-breaking machine. Ivan Makarov falls at 40-0 to Zechariah Jacob Gutierrez. Noah Tinoco drops at 27-0 to Arlie Harrington. Rowan Wheeler loses at 21-0 to Ryan Contino. Jaxson Ingoldsby sees his 19-win run ended by Xavier Luis Curtis Araujo. Four streaks of 19 or longer, all at the same tournament.
At GI New York City, Kyle Inlander falls at 19-0 to Zvezdan Dukic, who finishes 6-0 on the day.
Academy Report
| Academy | Fighters | Medals | Gold | Silver | Bronze |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODINS HALLS BJJ | 27 | 50 | 34 | 12 | 4 |
| Carlson Gracie Henderson | 20 | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 |
| Vills Bros BJJ | 19 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| Atos LV | 13 | 22 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| Atlantis Jiu-Jitsu | 17 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
ODINS HALLS BJJ dominates NAGA Vegas with 50 medals from 27 fighters — 34 of them gold. That is a 68% gold rate, the highest of any academy with 20 or more medals this weekend. Atos LV runs efficiently with 22 medals from 13 fighters at the same event.
Tournament Scoreboard
| Tournament | Org | Matches | Sub Rate | Top Academy | Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newbreed Worlds | Newbreed | 925 | 45% | Atlantis JJ (22) | 4,491-Jits upset, Makarov’s 40-0 falls |
| GI New York City | Grappling Industries | 830 | 53% | Panda BJJ (14) | Three 6-win bracket runs, Inlander’s 19-0 snaps |
| NAGA Vegas Kids | NAGA | 572 | 48% | ODINS HALLS BJJ (50) | 50 medals, Fabian goes 6-0 |
| GI San Diego | Grappling Industries | 238 | 55% | Carlsbad JJ (18) | Carlsbad leads on home turf |
| PBJJF DC Summer Open | PBJJF | 174 | 56% | Spectrum JJ (20) | Spectrum JJ collects 20 medals |
| NAGA Buffalo | NAGA | 162 | 61% | Sub-Zero MMA / GFTeam (12) | Malak goes 4-0, all submissions |
| NAGA Vegas Teens & Adults | NAGA | 134 | 45% | TAC Team BJJ (8) | Smallest field of the weekend |
Monday Ratings Movers
Craig Sampson of Pierro MMA gains +7,580 Jits on a perfect 5-0 weekend — the largest Glicko-2 move across all seven tournaments. He reaches Prodigy tier at 4,397 Jits in what appears to be his first tracked event.
Aaron Trujillo of Bronx Martial Arts Academy goes 7-2 for +6,850 Jits at GI New York City. Philipp Kröner pushes 11-1 at the same event for +6,760 Jits. On the drops side, Dylan O’Regan takes the hardest fall: -3,560 Jits on a 1-1 weekend, though his Prodigy tier holds at 3,858 Jits.
Risers
| # | Fighter | Record | Tier | Rating | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craig Sampson | 5-0 | Prodigy | 4,397 | +7,580 |
| 2 | Aaron Trujillo | 7-2 | Prodigy | 4,945 | +6,850 |
| 3 | Philipp Kröner | 11-1 | Prodigy | 4,294 | +6,760 |
| 4 | Kamanao Bambridge | 4-0 | Prodigy | 3,945 | +6,580 |
| 5 | Zvezdan Dukic | 6-0 | Elite | 3,108 | +6,110 |
| 6 | Anthony Ray Steward | 6-0 | Elite | 3,006 | +5,770 |
| 7 | Jake Tandy | 9-1 | Elite | 3,244 | +5,740 |
| 8 | Nick Shimkin | 5-0 | Elite | 2,813 | +5,520 |
Drops
| # | Fighter | Record | Tier | Rating | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan O’Regan | 1-1 | Prodigy | 3,858 | -3,560 |
| 2 | Valentine Martinez | 0-4 | Elite | 2,747 | -2,610 |
| 3 | Joaquin Galvao | 1-3 | Elite | 3,015 | -2,180 |
| 4 | Kabir Asatullaev | 0-4 | Elite | 2,081 | -2,140 |
| 5 | Viviana Duarte | 0-4 | Prospect | 2,063 | -2,130 |
Looking Ahead
The Newbreed World Championship lived up to its billing — 925 matches, a 4,491-Jits upset, and four streaks of 19 or longer broken. The World title attracts deeper brackets and more experienced fighters, which means more upsets. The Grappling Industries round-robin format continues to produce the highest individual win counts on any given weekend. Both formats reward different things: Newbreed rewards survival, GI rewards consistency.
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