The Roll Up

A 45-Win Streak Falls in San Antonio

Twelve tournaments, 5,466 matches, six organizations. A 0.5% upset at Newbreed Myrtle Beach, a 45-0 record broken, and Davian Hernandez goes 8-0 in South Carolina.

B
Ben Digital
July 21, 2025 · 5 min read
5,466
MATCHES THIS WEEKEND
12
TOURNAMENTS
6
ORGANIZATIONS

Mila Slater of Mushin BJJ Academy carries a 45-win streak into Grappling Industries San Antonio. Liam Esquivel ends it. At the same tournament, Jacinto Hernandez III of Ultimate Submission Academy watches his 38-win streak fall to Lincoln Justin Spielmann. Two of the longest active streaks in the sport, broken at the same event, on the same day.

Twelve tournaments across six organizations produce 5,466 matches this weekend. Grappling Industries San Antonio leads with 1,033. JJWL The Nationals West runs 985 in Gi alone. And GOOD FIGHT: Tri-City Challenge finishes 70% of its 84 matches by submission.

01
STAR PERFORMANCES

Star Performances

DC
Behring Puerto Rico·8-0 this weekend
+1,200
JITS GAINED

Eight wins. Zero losses. Six submissions. Gold medal. Travels from Puerto Rico to Myrtle Beach and sweeps the field.

JW
James White Fitness·2-0 this weekend
+2,120
JITS GAINED

Two matches, two submissions, gold medal, and the weekend’s largest Jits gain among MVPs. Both wins by finish.

AR
Haven Jiu-Jitsu Academy·3-0 this weekend
+2,040
JITS GAINED

Three wins, all by submission, gold medal at JJWL Houston. Clean sweep.

SM
+2,040
JITS GAINED

Gold medal at The Nationals West. One submission, one points win. Efficient output at a 985-match tournament.

Davian Cesar Hernandez puts together the weekend’s highest-volume undefeated performance at Newbreed Myrtle Beach. Eight wins, six by submission, from a grey belt representing Behring Puerto Rico. The travel distance alone earns respect. The 8-0 record makes it a statement.

The JJWL double-header at Houston and The Nationals West produces four MVPs between them. Pablo Silva BJJ leads both Houston events with a combined 87 medals from 117 fighters — 38 of them gold.

02
THE DEEP BRACKETS

The Deep Brackets

Grappling Industries produces the deep bracket runs again. At San Antonio, Adrian Palincsar of Dream Art San Antonio, Bodhi Santos of Mushin BJJ, Marciano Edward Cherry of Lever Jiujitsu USA, and Reagan Wesley Stokes of SBG Texas each win six straight. Four separate six-win bracket sweeps at a single 1,033-match tournament.

At Philadelphia, Alexis Villegas of NJMA, AJ Corp of Alliance Pennsylvania, Theron Feeser of Round Table BJJ, and Nicholas Messina of AMA Fight Club each go six-deep. That is eight six-win bracket runs across two Grappling Industries events — sixteen straight in San Antonio, sixteen straight in Philadelphia.

Gem Alexa Anleu of Black Tie BJJ deserves a separate mention. She goes 8-2 at Newbreed Myrtle Beach and pulls two submissions over Alaiya Rose Robinson, a 5,701-Jits fighter — the first at a 4,621-Jits gap (0.5% win probability), the second at a 4,141-Jits gap. She finishes the weekend at Prodigy tier with 7,566 Jits.

03
UPSETS AND SURPRISES

Upsets and Surprises

#1 — 4,621-JITS GAP · 0.5% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 Newbreed Myrtle Beach

Anleu submits Robinson -- a 5,701-Jits grey belt -- at a 4,621-Jits gap. The weekend’s widest upset. Then does it again.

#2 — 4,141-JITS GAP · 0.8% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 Newbreed Myrtle Beach

The rematch. Same result. Anleu submits Robinson a second time. Two submissions, two sub-1% probabilities.

#3 — 2,747-JITS GAP · 4.1% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 JJWL Nationals West Gi

Vea catches Akopian by submission at The Nationals West.

#4 — 2,503-JITS GAP · 5.3% WIN PROB
Submission \u2014 Newbreed Myrtle Beach

Hardman submits a 4,093-Jits grey belt at Myrtle Beach. Three of the weekend’s top four upsets end by submission.

The streak-breaker list this weekend is staggering. Mila Slater (45-0) falls at GI San Antonio. Jacinto Hernandez III (38-0) at the same event. Ramses Ramirez (29-0) at United Las Vegas. Evan Freetage (25-0) and Isabel Jade Castro (25-0) at separate events. Kenzo Velasco Sing (24-0) at The Nationals West. Kaleb Hinton (21-0) at Newbreed Myrtle Beach.

Seven fighters carrying streaks of 21 or more — gone. The longest active streaks in youth jiu-jitsu are getting shorter every week.

04
ACADEMY REPORT

Academy Report

AcademyFightersMedalsGoldSilverBronze
Pablo Silva BJJ11787383613
Elite Team International6157281910
Ohana Academy (San Antonio)273691611
Labyrinth BJJ343620115
Aspire to Inspire443318123

Pablo Silva BJJ deploys 117 fighters across the JJWL Houston events and collects 87 medals — the largest academy medal count of the summer. Labyrinth BJJ runs the best gold rate among the top five: 20 golds from 34 fighters, a 59% gold-to-medal conversion.

05
TOURNAMENT SCOREBOARD

Tournament Scoreboard

TournamentOrgMatchesSub RateTop AcademyTakeaway
GI San AntonioGrappling Industries1,03356%Ohana Academy (36)Slater’s 45-win and Hernandez’s 38-win streaks fall
JJWL Nationals West GiJJWL98553%Elite Team Intl (40)Kenzo’s 24-win streak broken, 985 matches in one day
GI PhiladelphiaGrappling Industries89857%SAS Philadelphia (16)Four 6-win bracket runs
JJWL Houston XV GiJJWL59955%Pablo Silva BJJ (56)Pablo Silva collects 56 medals in Gi alone
NAGA OklahomaNAGA46448%Sandro Sampaio BJJ (29)Womack goes 2-0, both by submission
United Las VegasUnited42753%GB West Las Vegas (22)Ramirez’s 29-win streak falls
JJWL Nationals West NoGiJJWL30855%Elite Team Intl (17)Munoz goes 2-0, pulls 2,510-Jits upset
Newbreed Myrtle BeachNewbreed27657%Next Element (20)Anleu pulls two sub-1% upsets over same opponent
JJWL Houston XV NoGiJJWL22361%Pablo Silva BJJ (26)Respall goes 3-0, all submissions
NAGA ClevelandNAGA10362%True Art BJJ (8)Freetage’s 25-win streak broken
GOOD FIGHT Tri-CityGood Fight8470%London Martial Arts (9)70% sub rate
Newbreed ConnecticutNewbreed6636%Cruvinel Brothers (11)Lowest sub rate of the weekend
06
RATINGS MOVERS

Monday Ratings Movers

Lia Knox-Hershey of Shorty’s gains +6,750 Jits on a perfect 4-0 weekend — the biggest single-weekend move across all twelve tournaments. She jumps to Elite tier at 3,367 Jits.

Gavin Xavier Cerna of GF Team goes 9-0 for +6,030 Jits, climbing to Prodigy at 4,003. Adrian Palincsar of Dream Art San Antonio matches that Prodigy jump with +5,950 Jits on his 6-0 bracket sweep. On the drops side, Abel Smith of Top Dawg BJJ takes the hardest fall: -3,820 Jits on an 0-4 weekend.

Risers

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Lia Knox-Hershey4-0Elite3,367+6,750
2Gavin Xavier Cerna9-0Prodigy4,003+6,030
3Adrian Palincsar6-0Prodigy3,992+5,950
4Ryan Bateman6-1Prodigy3,657+5,790
5Dominic Parker5-0Elite3,001+5,520
6Kayne Caplinger6-1Elite3,496+5,290
7Gabriel Segura4-0Elite2,816+5,240
8Erin Brinew5-0Elite2,663+5,230
9Dimitriy Gonzalez5-0Elite2,651+5,200
10Gem Alexa Anleu8-2Prodigy7,566+5,150

Drops

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Abel Smith0-4Advanced2,066-3,820
2Wesley Wang0-2Advanced2,401-3,160
3Mason Plata1-6Elite2,475-2,680
4Luke Bernard Zarosky0-4Elite2,945-2,440
5Xander M Mahoney-Aroch0-1Advanced2,185-2,390
07
LOOKING AHEAD

Looking Ahead

Gem Alexa Anleu’s back-to-back submissions over a 5,701-Jits opponent — at 0.5% and 0.8% win probability respectively — may be the most statistically unlikely double of the year. The first one could be an anomaly. The second one is a statement. Seven streaks of 21+ wins broken in one weekend suggests the talent pool is getting deeper and the gap between top-tier and everyone else is narrowing. Summer tournament volume is doing what it does: exposing weaknesses that low-frequency competitors never encounter.

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