The Roll Up

A 4,923-Jits Upset at Golden State XIII

Seventeen tournaments, 6,713 matches, nine organizations. Jacob Wasserman pulls a 0.3% upset in California. Two 33-win streaks fall. Apollo Baca goes 10-0 in Tri-Cities. NAGA Hawaii runs 891 matches.

B
Ben Digital
May 19, 2025 · 5 min read
6,713
MATCHES THIS WEEKEND
17
TOURNAMENTS
9
ORGANIZATIONS

Jacob Wasserman beats Costa Borrelli by points at JJWL Golden State XIII Gi Youth. The gap: 4,923 Jits. The win probability: 0.3%. It is the widest upset of the spring season. In Texas, Leonardo Castaneda's 36-win streak falls to Thiago Diaz Leon at JJWL American Open IX.

Seventeen tournaments across nine organizations produce 6,713 matches this weekend — the highest single-weekend total of the spring. NAGA Hawaii Kids leads with 891. JJWL Golden State XIII Gi runs 648. And GOOD FIGHT: Duel at Delaware finishes 79% of its 285 matches by submission.

01
STAR PERFORMANCES

Star Performances

AB
Cascade Jiu-Jitsu·10-0 this weekend
+2,750
JITS GAINED

Nine submissions and one points win across ten straight matches. Perfect weekend. The largest Jits gain among all MVPs.

AA
Gonzales Jiu-Jitsu·9-0 this weekend
+2,440
JITS GAINED

Eight submissions, one points win. Nine-for-nine at AGF Albuquerque. LEAD BJJ takes the medal count, but Gonzales takes the MVP.

JB
American Grappling Academy·3-0 this weekend
+2,360
JITS GAINED

Three matches, three submissions. Gold medal at JJWL Golden State XIII No Gi.

AT
Gracie Barra St Peters Missouri·6-0 this weekend
+1,040
JITS GAINED

Four submissions, two points wins. Gold at Missouri State. Gracie Barra O'Fallon dominates the team race, but Torres owns the individual one.

Apollo Baca of Cascade Jiu-Jitsu does what only a handful of fighters manage all season: ten matches, ten wins, nine by submission at AGF Tri-Cities. Adam Antonio Gonzales nearly matches him at AGF Albuquerque, going 9-0 with eight submissions. Two perfect weekends at two AGF events, separated by 1,200 miles.

At JJWL Golden State XIII, Jeremy Balelo finishes all three opponents by submission and gains +2,360 Jits — the third-largest MVP gain, despite the smallest match count. Efficiency over volume.

02
THE DEEP BRACKETS

The Deep Brackets

Grappling Industries Minneapolis produces the weekend's deep bracket concentration. William Tuttle of Kato Jiu Jitsu wins five in two separate brackets — ten bracket wins across two divisions. Grace Hli Ci Yang of GF Team does the same. Carlos Trevino of Great Lakes Combatives and Sho Sato of Alliance River City BJJ each run five-win sweeps in their own divisions.

At Grappling Industries San Diego, Jacob Mhar Bagaygay of Lansang BJJ and Quinten Silas Abugan of Art of Jiu Jitsu each win five straight. And the Cinderella of the weekend: Emerson Chaffin grinds through six matches at AGF Albuquerque, ranked 217th out of 224 fighters entering.

03
UPSETS AND SURPRISES

Upsets and Surprises

#1 — 4,923-JITS GAP · 0.3% WIN PROB
Points \u2014 GS XIII Gi Youth

The widest upset of the spring season. Wasserman at 1,770 Jits beats Borrelli at 6,693 by points. A 0.3% win probability.

#2 — 3,554-JITS GAP · 1.6% WIN PROB

Mercedes beats a 5,304-Jits fighter by points at the JJWL American Open. The second-widest gap of the weekend.

#3 — 3,431-JITS GAP · 1.9% WIN PROB
Points \u2014 GS XIII NoGi Youth

Mattly at 1,180 Jits takes Castillo at 4,611 by points at Golden State XIII.

#4 — 2,843-JITS GAP · 3.7% WIN PROB

Page at 1,026 Jits -- barely above the floor -- beats Faria at 3,869 by points at the JJWL American Open.

The streak-breaking numbers from this weekend are stacked. Leonardo Castaneda's 36-win streak falls to Thiago Diaz Leon at JJWL American Open IX. Two 33-win streaks fall the same day: Atticus Vitug loses to Elijah Dennis at GS XIII NoGi, and Gabriel Weiss Gama loses to Jesse Wellen at American Open IX Gi.

Kenzo Velasco Sing (24-0) falls to Wesley Pantoja at GS XIII Gi. Jacob Charlton (23-0) loses to Samuel Oelfke at Grappling Industries Minneapolis. Three more streaks between 18 and 19 wins fall across Tri-Cities, Missouri State, and Salt Lake City.

04
ACADEMY REPORT

Academy Report

AcademyFightersMedalsGoldSilverBronze
Gracie Barra O'Fallon3274293015
Island Jiu Jitsu4171283013
SATORI NO MICHI DOJO3350221612
HNL Jiu Jitsu304824168
LEAD BJJ1746132310

Gracie Barra O'Fallon controls AGF Missouri State with 74 medals from 32 fighters — a 2.3 medals-per-fighter rate. Island Jiu Jitsu nearly matches it at NAGA Hawaii Kids with 71 medals from 41 fighters. LEAD BJJ runs the most efficient small-team operation: 46 medals from 17 fighters, a 2.7 medals-per-fighter rate, at AGF Albuquerque.

05
TOURNAMENT SCOREBOARD

Tournament Scoreboard

TournamentOrgMatchesSub RateTop AcademyTakeaway
NAGA Hawaii KidsNAGA89139%Island Jiu Jitsu (61)Largest field of the weekend
JJWL GS XIII GiJJWL64848%Elite Team International (23)Wasserman's 4,923-Jits upset
GI MinneapolisGrappling Industries57461%Spartan Martial Arts (20)Tuttle and Yang run 5 wins in 2 brackets each
JJWL American Open IX GiJJWL57156%Jacare BJJ (18)Gama's 33-win streak falls
JJWL American Open IX NoGiJJWL52761%ATTBAGA (19)Castaneda's 36-win streak falls
AGF AlbuquerqueAGF48358%LEAD BJJ (43)Gonzales goes 9-0 with 8 submissions
AGF Missouri StateAGF45349%Gracie Barra O'Fallon (74)O'Fallon collects 74 medals
JJWL GS XIII NoGiJJWL43758%Elite Team International (16)Vitug's 33-win streak ends
Newbreed CharlestonNewbreed38251%GB Summerville (33)Fingar goes 4-0 with 3 subs
Grappling X SacramentoGrappling X36856%SATORI NO MICHI (31)NorCal Championships
GOOD FIGHT DelawareGood Fight28579%MMA and Sport (44)79% sub rate across 285 matches
Tap Cancer Out CharlotteTap Cancer Out28350%Alliance Lucas Lepri (20)Charlotte BJJ Open
AGF Tri-CitiesAGF25258%100 Kilos JiuJitsu (35)Baca goes 10-0 with 9 submissions
United SLCUnited20956%Gracie Barra Utah (32)Angelon's 18-win streak falls
GI San DiegoGrappling Industries16762%Atos HQ (7)Bagaygay and Abugan run 5-win brackets
NAGA Hawaii TeensNAGA12545%HNL Jiu Jitsu (10)Bustillo goes 3-1 for gold
Newbreed ColumbusNewbreed5860%RuffHouse Columbus (5)Runcan goes 5-1 with 4 subs
06
RATINGS MOVERS

Monday Ratings Movers

Gus Gloschat of Gracie Barra Utah gains +8,590 Jits on a perfect 7-0 weekend at United Grappling Salt Lake City — the biggest single-weekend move across all seventeen tournaments and the largest of the spring season so far. Apollo Baca of Cascade Jiu-Jitsu goes 10-0 for +7,630 Jits at AGF Tri-Cities. Adam Antonio Gonzales goes 9-0 for +7,280 Jits at AGF Albuquerque.

On the drops side, Cowan Nicholas Aquilino takes the hardest fall: -3,840 Jits on an 0-6 weekend.

Risers

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Gus Gloschat7-0Elite3,148+8,590
2Apollo Baca10-0Prodigy4,804+7,630
3Adam A. Gonzales9-0Elite3,334+7,280
4Tommy Teigen9-0Prodigy3,908+7,010
5Joseph Seidl5-0Elite3,294+6,060
6Aviyah Rhoden-Greaves6-0Elite3,540+5,780
7Georgia Indermark8-0Advanced2,133+5,610
8Silas Romero5-0Elite2,850+5,310
9Owen Osborn9-1Prodigy4,164+5,190
10Lucas Grider7-0Advanced2,269+4,890

Drops

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Cowan Aquilino0-6Elite2,461-3,840
2Elijah Price0-4Elite2,485-2,970
3Noe Acevedo3-1Novice2,850-2,970
4Julio Castro2-2Advanced2,328-2,920
5Shane Joseph Marapao1-4Elite2,214-2,900
07
LOOKING AHEAD

Looking Ahead

The 4,923-Jits upset at Golden State XIII is the widest of the spring season. The 6,713 matches are the most in a single weekend. And the three 33+ win streaks falling on the same day — Castaneda (36), Vitug (33), Gama (33) — confirm what the data has been saying all spring: by mid-May, the early-season unbeaten records have been stress-tested to the breaking point.

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