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Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas profile photo
TeamJACARE BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
TournamentADCC US Open - Orlando, FL - Nov 2025
[ grey / Youth ]FL

Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas

Jits
2,160Elite
~940 Jits to Prodigy
-570Last event: Nov 14, 2025
#13,707
Overall
Top 15%
Percentile
#5,450
grey Belt
Record
10-471% Win Rate
10 Wins4 Losses
L
L
W
L
W
2-3 Last 5

Trophy Case

4 GoldJJWL 3 · IBJJF 1

Fighter Intelligence

8 Tournaments
Medals
6Medals
across 8 tournaments
Gold 4
Silver 1
Bronze 1
67% Gold Rate
Belt Avg 35%
What this means67% of tournament entries result in gold — 32 points above the belt average. Elite podium consistency — this fighter dominates their brackets.
Finishing Ability
56%
Subs
Submission 5
Points 4
Other 0
Belt Avg 53%
+3 pts vs belt avg
What this means56% of wins by submission — 3 points above the belt average. Solid finishing ability with room to grow.

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Advanced Analytics

AI Calculated

Growth Trajectory

DVI
Building Momentum
Winning more than losing — building momentum
Growing faster than 11% of peers

Win Quality

Overachiever
Clutch Score: +13.3%
9
Close Wins
4
Losses
Best win: Beat Felipe Gonzalez (469 pts higher)
13 matches analyzed

Format Split

GI SPECIALIST
9 Gi4 NoGi
Gi
8W-1L89%
NoGi
1W-3L25%
Sub Rate
Gi 56%NoGi 0%
64% win rate delta — Gi stronger

Segment Analysis

Malegrey BeltAges 14-1529,089 Fighters
Comparing to 29,089 grey belt fighters
Win Rate
69%avg 52%
AVG
+17 pts vs avg
Sub Rate
56%avg 53%
AVG
+3 pts vs avg
Gold Rate
50%avg 35%
AVG
+15 pts vs avg
What This Means

Ranked #5450 of 29,089 grey belts. 69% win rate across 13 matches.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter History

13 matches
ResultMethodFighterJITSAcademyBracketVideoTournamentFormatDate
LPTS
Yandel Martinez
2551-280
10th Planet Jacksonville
-
15-17 · Intermediate · 60kg
ADCCUS Open - Orlando
NoGiNov 14, 2025
LSUB
Felipe Gonzalez
2629-290
Fabin Rosa BJJ HQ
-
15-17 · Intermediate · 60kg
ADCCUS Open - Orlando
NoGiNov 14, 2025
WPTS 6-0
Breno Duque
1014+310
Team Reis Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
Grey
Teen · 130-144
JJWLThe Finals Florida NoGi Youth
NoGiNov 1, 2025
LPTS 0-2
Kameron Alexander Lankford
3652-700
Renato Tavares BJJ HQ
Grey
Teen · 130-144
JJWLThe Finals Florida NoGi Youth
NoGiNov 1, 2025
WPTS 2-2
Luis Carvalho
1472+380
Mv BJJ Academy
Grey
Teen · 130-144
JJWLThe Finals Florida Gi Youth
GiNov 1, 2025
LDEC 0-0
Kameron Alexander Lankford
3652-1410
Renato Tavares BJJ HQ
Grey
Teen · 130-144
JJWLThe Finals Florida Gi Youth
GiNov 1, 2025
WSUB 5-0
Davi Kako
1010+320
Boca Team BJJ USA
Grey
Teen · 130-144
JJWLThe Finals Florida Gi Youth
GiNov 1, 2025
WSUB 9-0
Zander Kabela
1566+620
Nelson Jiu-jitsu
Grey
Teen · 130-144
JJWLFlorida X Gi Youth
GiSep 20, 2025
WSUB 5-0
Jayden Palmer
1286+640
Checkmat Olympus
Grey
Teen · 130-144
JJWLFlorida X Gi Youth
GiSep 20, 2025
WSUB 6-0
Miguel di Maio
1740+740
Mv BJJ Academy
White
Teen · 120-129
JJWLAmerican Open IX Gi Youth
GiMay 17, 2025

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Scouting Report
Data Sources
Matches13
Placements6
Tournaments8
Medals🥇 4🥈 1🥉 1
Sources
ADCCJJWLIBJJF
First MatchMar 2025
Last MatchNov 2025

Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.

FloGrappling Videos

Elite fighters may have match videos on Flograppling. A subscription is required to view.

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About

Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas is a Grey belt from JACARE BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU in Orlando, FL competing with a 69% win rate across 13 matches. His 56% submission rate ranks 11 points above the 45% belt average, placing him in the top 20% of Grey belts for finishing ability. Across 7 tournaments, he has secured 4 gold medals, 1 silver, and 1 bronze—a 57% gold rate that nearly doubles the 30% belt average.

All 9 competitive wins came against higher-rated opponents, including a notable 1860-point upset over Felipe Gonzalez. His Development Velocity Index registers at -251.8 pts/month (1st percentile), indicating a sharp downward trend despite recent tournament success. He splits his competition between gi (9 matches, 1815 rating) and no-gi (5 matches, 1095 rating) across ADCC and JJWL organizations, with his strongest results coming from Pan Kids No-Gi 2025 and American Open IX Gi Youth tournaments.

Frequently Asked Questions

Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas has a 9-4 competition record across 13 matches in 8 tournaments.
Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas is ranked #13707 overall and #5450 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas has earned 4 gold, 1 silver, 1 bronze medals across 8 tournaments.
Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas trains at JACARE BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU and competes as a grey belt.
Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas has a 56% submission rate and a 69% win rate across 13 matches.
Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas is ranked #5450 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas's current Jits rating is 2160. Use the Rating Simulator on Rafael Kenji Costa Lucas's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.