TeamAres BJJ

Tournament2025 AGF Lubbock Open - Nov 2025

[ orange / youth ]

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia

Jits

4,530Prodigy

~570 Jits to S-Tier

+730Last event: Nov 1, 2025

#1,405

Overall

Top 2%

Percentile

#69

orange Belt

Record

30-977% Win Rate

30 Wins9 Losses

5-0 Last 5+12 Streak

Trophy Case

13 GoldAGF 12 · IBJJF 1

Premier

IBJJF CON GISep 6, 2024

All Tournaments

AGF LUBBOCK GINov 1, 2025

AGF LUBBOCK NO-GINov 1, 2025

AGF MIDLAND GIAug 16, 2025

AGF MIDLAND NO-GIAug 16, 2025

AGF WORLDS GIJun 14, 2025

AGF WORLDS NO-GIJun 14, 2025

AGF ALBUQUERQUE GIMay 17, 2025

AGF ALBUQUERQUE NO-GIMay 17, 2025

AGF LUBBOCK GIMay 10, 2025

AGF LUBBOCK NO-GIMay 10, 2025

AGF MIDLAND GIMar 8, 2025

AGF MIDLAND NO-GIMar 8, 2025

Fighter Intelligence

8 Tournaments

Medals

28Medals

across 8 tournaments

Gold 17

Silver 11

Bronze 0

61% Gold Rate

Belt Avg 58%

What this means61% of tournament entries result in gold — 3 points above the belt average. Elite podium consistency — this fighter dominates their brackets.

Finishing Ability

30%

Subs

Submission 9

Points 21

Other 0

Belt Avg 67%

-37 pts vs belt avg

What this means30% of wins by submission — 37 points below the belt average. This fighter wins primarily through points and decisions.

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Advanced Analytics

AI Calculated

Growth Trajectory

DVI

Dominant

Dominant — winning at an elite level

Growing faster than 94% of peers

Win Quality

Giant Killer

Clutch Score: +19.6%

Close Wins

Exp. Wins

Losses

Upset Losses

39 matches analyzed

Format Split

BALANCED

18 Gi21 NoGi

14W-4L78%

NoGi

16W-5L76%

Sub Rate

Gi 6%NoGi 38%

2% win rate delta — Gi stronger

Segment Analysis

Femaleorange BeltAges 14-15965 Fighters

Comparing to 965 orange belt fighters

Win Rate

75%avg 68%

AVG

+7 pts vs avg

Sub Rate

30%avg 67%

AVG

-37 pts vs avg

Gold Rate

88%avg 58%

AVG

+29 pts vs avg

What This Means

Ranked #69 of 965 orange belts. 75% win rate across 40 matches.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter History

39 matches

Result	Method	Fighter	JITS	Academy	Bracket	Tournament	Format	Date
W	SUB	Heaven Madrid	1030+70	Vagabond Brazilian Jiu Jitsu	Orange Teen 14-15 · Middle II	AGFLubbock Open	NoGi	Nov 1, 2025
W	SUB	Heaven Madrid	1030+70	Vagabond Brazilian Jiu Jitsu	Orange Teen 14-15 · Middle II	AGFLubbock Open	NoGi	Nov 1, 2025
W	PTS	Rosa Lozoya	1812+70	Wrecking Crew American Jiu Jitsu	- Regular Challenger · Middle III	AGFLubbock Open	NoGi	Nov 1, 2025
W	PTS	Jillian Faith Arnona	4390+280	Team Jucão	Orange Teen 14-15 · Heavy I	AGFLubbock Open	Gi	Nov 1, 2025
W	PTS	Jillian Faith Arnona	4390+240	Team Jucão	Orange Teen 14-15 · Heavy I	AGFLubbock Open	Gi	Nov 1, 2025
W	SUB	Heaven Madrid	1030+70	Vagabond Brazilian Jiu Jitsu	Orange Teen 14-15 · Middle II	AGFMidland Open	NoGi	Aug 16, 2025
W	SUB	Heaven Madrid	1030+90	Vagabond Brazilian Jiu Jitsu	Orange Teen 14-15 · Middle II	AGFMidland Open	NoGi	Aug 16, 2025
W	PTS	Jazmyn Marie Harris	2554+280	Ares BJJ	- Regular Challenger · Middle II	AGFMidland Open	NoGi	Aug 16, 2025
W	PTS	Jazmyn Marie Harris	2554+160	Ares BJJ	- Regular Challenger · Middle II	AGFMidland Open	Gi	Aug 16, 2025
L	SUB	Maddy Reynoso	4212-140	Conquest - Yukon	Orange Teen 14-15 · Middle II	AGFKids Worlds	NoGi	Jun 14, 2025

From Ares BJJ

Jacoby Fama Villanueva

Maxton Julian Fraites

4,988

19-0 · 32% SUB

Valkyrie R Wickersham

Asher Caviness Freeman

Rival Fighters

Heaven Madrid.jits

Vagabond Brazilian Jiu Jitsu

H2H8-0

Dayana Emi Gallagher.jits

LEAD BJJ

H2H5-2

Gia Isabella Wallace.jits

LEAD BJJ

H2H4-1

Maya Citlali Padilla.jits

LEAD BJJ

H2H0-4

Maddy Reynoso.jits

Conquest - Yukon

H2H2-1

Scouting Report

Ares BJJ →

Data Sources

Matches39

Placements28

Tournaments8

Medals🥇 17🥈 11

Sources

AGFIBJJF

First MatchMar 2025

Last MatchNov 2025

Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.

FloGrappling Videos

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About

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia is an Orange belt from Ares BJJ in Modesto, CA competing with a 75% win rate across 40 matches in 8 AGF tournaments. Her 88% gold medal rate (17 golds in 28 total medals) ranks in the top 12% of Orange belts, while her 30% submission rate sits in the 93rd percentile—24 points below the 54% belt average. At a JITS Rating of 3700, she ranks #981 globally and #59 at her belt level, placing her in the 98th global percentile. All 30 of her wins came against higher-rated opponents, including a notable upset over Kiera Mae Carter (-87pt gap).

Her development velocity index of +431.4 pts/month places her in the 96th percentile, indicating dominant upward momentum. Recent tournament results show consistent dominance: 4 golds at the 2025 AGF Midland Open, 3 golds at AGF Albuquerque Championships, and 3 golds at AGF Lubbock Open. She competes primarily in gi format (18 matches, 2410 rating) versus no-gi (21 matches, 2135 rating), and has competed exclusively in AGF since her first match in 2025.

Frequently Asked Questions

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia has a 30-10 competition record across 40 matches in 8 tournaments.

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia is ranked #1405 overall and #69 among orange belt competitors on Jits.gg.

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia has earned 17 gold, 11 silver medals across 8 tournaments.

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia trains at Ares BJJ and competes as a orange belt.

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia has a 30% submission rate and a 75% win rate across 40 matches.

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia is ranked #69 among orange belt competitors on Jits.gg.

Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia's current Jits rating is 4530. Use the Rating Simulator on Natalie Nicole Kolbe Mejia's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.