Jits.GG
TeamÁguila Jiu-Jitsu
Tournament2026 AGF Midland Championships - Mar 2026
[ grey / youth ]NM

Lucy Ella Watson

Jits
1,963Elite
~1,137 Jits to Prodigy
+270Last event: Mar 7, 2026
#17,369
Overall
Top 19%
Percentile
#6,601
grey Belt
Record
13-959% Win Rate
13 Wins9 Losses
L
W
W
W
L
3-2 Last 5

Trophy Case

5 GoldAGF 3 · NAGA 2

Fighter Intelligence

7 Tournaments
Medals
11Medals
across 7 tournaments
Gold 5
Silver 5
Bronze 1
45% Gold Rate
Belt Avg 33%
What this means45% of tournament entries result in gold — 12 points above the belt average. Strong medal conversion with room to grow.
Finishing Ability
85%
Subs
Submission 11
Points 2
Other 0
Belt Avg 55%
+30 pts vs belt avg
What this means85% of wins by submission — 30 points above the belt average. This fighter has elite finishing ability for their rank.

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Advanced Analytics

AI Calculated

Growth Trajectory

DVI
Holding Steady
Competitive — holding steady
Growing faster than 19% of peers

Win Quality

Overachiever
Clutch Score: +8.7%
13
Close Wins
8
Losses
21 matches analyzed

Format Split

BALANCED
12 Gi9 NoGi
Gi
7W-5L58%
NoGi
6W-3L67%
Sub Rate
Gi 50%NoGi 56%
8% win rate delta — NoGi stronger

Segment Analysis

Femalegrey BeltAges 12-1329,089 Fighters
Comparing to 29,089 grey belt fighters
Win Rate
62%avg 51%
AVG
+11 pts vs avg
Sub Rate
85%avg 55%
AVG
+30 pts vs avg
Gold Rate
43%avg 33%
AVG
+10 pts vs avg
What This Means

Ranked #6601 of 29,089 grey belts. 62% win rate across 21 matches.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter History

21 matches
ResultMethodFighterJITSAcademyBracketVideoTournamentFormatDate
WSUB
Alice Lopez
1013+250
Vagabond Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
Grey
Juniors 12-13 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
NoGiMar 7, 2026
WSUB
Alleigha Hartsock
1084+150
Greenwood BJJ
Grey
Juniors 12-13 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
NoGiMar 7, 2026
LSUB
Arielle Murillo
3727-270
Ares BJJ
-
Challenger II 11-15 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
NoGiMar 7, 2026
WSUB
Alleigha Hartsock
1084+110
Greenwood BJJ
-
Challenger II 11-15 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
NoGiMar 7, 2026
WSUB
Jillian Grace Freeman
1677+590
Lead BJJ
Grey
Juniors 12-13 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
GiMar 7, 2026
WSUB
Alice Lopez
1013+190
Vagabond Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
Grey
Juniors 12-13 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
GiMar 7, 2026
LSUB
Arielle Murillo
3727-220
Ares BJJ
-
Challenger II 11-15 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
GiMar 7, 2026
LSUB
Jillian Grace Freeman
1677-530
Lead BJJ
-
Challenger II 11-15 · Light III
AGFMidland Championships
GiMar 7, 2026
L-
Charlee Quynh Nguyen
2832-210
Double Five South Ms
Grey
Teen 1 · Middle
IBJJFAustin Winter Kids
NoGiFeb 22, 2026
L-
Sofía Esther Salas
1687-580
BJJ Revolution Team
Grey
Teen 1 · Middle
IBJJFAustin Winter Kids
GiFeb 22, 2026

From Águila Jiu-Jitsu

See all →
Bryce Cash Kosanke
4,517
11-9 · 73% SUB
Devin Michael Juarez
3,097
14-5 · 71% SUB
Cohen Daniel Sykes
2,470
25-8 · 64% SUB
Derac Wayne Smith
2,402
9-4 · 22% SUB
Wade Van Soelen
2,293
5-4 · 40% SUB
Ava Jewel Smith
1,914
9-6 · 44% SUB
Elijah Ezekiel Gonzales
1,789
3-6 · 0% SUB
Thor Thompson
1,450
2-2 · 50% SUB

Rival Fighters

AH

Alleigha Hartsock.jits

Greenwood BJJ

H2H7-0
AS

Ava Jewel Smith.jits

Águila Jiu-Jitsu

H2H1-2
Scouting Report
Data Sources
Matches21
Placements11
Tournaments7
Medals🥇 5🥈 5🥉 1
Sources
AGFIBJJFNAGA
First MatchAug 2025
Last MatchMar 2026

Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.

FloGrappling Videos

Elite fighters may have match videos on Flograppling. A subscription is required to view.

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About

Lucy Ella Watson is a Grey belt from Águila Jiu-Jitsu in New Mexico competing with an and 3 gold medals across 4 tournaments. Her 75% submission rate ranks in the top 8% of Grey belts—30 points above the 45% belt average—making her a finishing threat in every match. Watson's 73% win rate and 50% gold medal rate both exceed belt averages by significant margins, positioning her in the 92nd percentile among Grey belt competitors.

All 8 of Watson's wins came against higher-rated opponents, including an upset victory over Ava Jewel Smith (1220-point rating gap). Her development velocity index sits at -2.9 pts/month (25th percentile DVI), indicating a stabilizing competitive trajectory after early momentum. Watson competes across three organizations—AGF, IBJJF, and NAGA—with a balanced format split of 8 gi matches (1040 rating) and 4 no-gi matches (1020 rating), demonstrating technical consistency across ruleset variations.

Frequently Asked Questions

Lucy Ella Watson has a 13-8 competition record across 21 matches in 7 tournaments.
Lucy Ella Watson is ranked #17369 overall and #6601 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Lucy Ella Watson has earned 5 gold, 5 silver, 1 bronze medals across 7 tournaments.
Lucy Ella Watson trains at Águila Jiu-Jitsu and competes as a grey belt.
Lucy Ella Watson has a 85% submission rate and a 62% win rate across 21 matches.
Lucy Ella Watson is ranked #6601 among grey belt competitors on Jits.gg.
Lucy Ella Watson's current Jits rating is 1963. Use the Rating Simulator on Lucy Ella Watson's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.