Tournament2025 AGF Oklahoma City Open - Sep 2025

[ green / youth ]

Caden Winkler

Jits

1,558Advanced

~342 Jits to Elite

-650Last event: Sep 20, 2025

#29,729

Overall

Top 33%

Percentile

#141

green Belt

Record

21-1362% Win Rate

21 Wins13 Losses

1-4 Last 5

Trophy Case

6 GoldAGF 5 · New Breed 1

AGF TULSA NO-GIJul 12, 2025

NEW BREED TULSA SPRING NO-GIMay 10, 2025

AGF DALLAS SPRING GIMay 3, 2025

AGF DALLAS SPRING NO-GIMay 3, 2025

AGF OKLAHOMA STATE NO-GIMar 15, 2025

AGF OKLAHOMA STATE GIMar 15, 2025

The Roll Up

Upset ArtistMay 10, 2025

Beat Jacob Walker by Points

NEWBREED TULSA SPRING CHAMPIONSHIPThe Roll Up →

Fighter Intelligence

5 Tournaments

Medals

14Medals

across 5 tournaments

Gold 6

Silver 3

Bronze 5

43% Gold Rate

Belt Avg 38%

What this means43% of tournament entries result in gold — 5 points above the belt average. Strong medal conversion with room to grow.

Finishing Ability

62%

Subs

Submission 13

Points 8

Other 0

Belt Avg 42%

+20 pts vs belt avg

What this means62% of wins by submission — 20 points above the belt average. This fighter has elite finishing ability for their rank.

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Advanced Analytics

AI Calculated

Growth Trajectory

DVI

Building New Foundation

Building a new foundation

Growing faster than 5% of peers

Win Quality

Overachiever

Clutch Score: +12.2%

Close Wins

Losses

Best win: Beat Jaxson Eli Freeman (1157 pts higher)

34 matches analyzed

Format Split

NOGI SPECIALIST

17 Gi17 NoGi

9W-8L53%

NoGi

12W-5L71%

Sub Rate

Gi 29%NoGi 47%

18% win rate delta — NoGi stronger

Segment Analysis

Malegreen Belt309 Fighters

Comparing to 309 green belt fighters

Win Rate

60%avg 46%

AVG

+14 pts vs avg

Sub Rate

62%avg 42%

AVG

+20 pts vs avg

Gold Rate

80%avg 38%

AVG

+42 pts vs avg

What This Means

Win rate tracks at 60% for green belt. 35 matches and counting.

Tale of the Tape

Fighter History

34 matches

Result	Method	Fighter	JITS	Academy	Bracket	Tournament	Format	Date
L	PTS	Michael Alvin Maderazo	4226-70	Triton Fight Center	Green Teen 14-15 · Middle III	AGFOklahoma City Open	NoGi	Sep 20, 2025
L	PTS	Bo Hoskinson	2976-70	Stoic BJJ	Green Teen 14-15 · Middle III	AGFOklahoma City Open	NoGi	Sep 20, 2025
W	PTS	Jaxson Eli Freeman	2715+250	Lead BJJ	- Regular Challenger · Middle III	AGFOklahoma City Open	NoGi	Sep 20, 2025
L	DEC	Andrew Pechacek	8522-20	Soul Fighters BJJ	- Regular Challenger · Middle III	AGFOklahoma City Open	NoGi	Sep 20, 2025
L	SUB	Aryan Budri	2216-350	All American MMA	Green Teen 14-15 · Heavy I	AGFOklahoma City Open	Gi	Sep 20, 2025
L	SUB	Aryan Budri	2216-240	All American MMA	Green Teen 14-15 · Heavy I	AGFOklahoma City Open	Gi	Sep 20, 2025
L	PTS	Andrew Pechacek	8522-10	Soul Fighters BJJ	- Regular Challenger · Middle III	AGFOklahoma City Open	Gi	Sep 20, 2025
L	DEC	Jaxson Eli Freeman	2715-140	Lead BJJ	- Regular Challenger · Middle III	AGFOklahoma City Open	Gi	Sep 20, 2025
W	SUB	Noah Rose	1922+200	Christian Jiu-jitsu Academy	Green Teen 14-15 · Heavy I	AGFTulsa Open	NoGi	Jul 12, 2025
W	SUB	Noah Rose	1922+210	Christian Jiu-jitsu Academy	Green Teen 14-15 · Heavy I	AGFTulsa Open	NoGi	Jul 12, 2025

From Sheepdog Jiu Jitsu

Rival Fighters

Walker Powell.jits

Fortis MMA Lakeside

H2H4-0

Scouting Report

Sheepdog Jiu Jitsu →

Data Sources

Matches34

Placements14

Tournaments5

Medals🥇 6🥈 3🥉 5

Sources

AGFNEWBD

First MatchMar 2025

Last MatchSep 2025

Stats verified from completed tournaments only, may not represent a fighter's true record.

FloGrappling Videos

Elite fighters may have match videos on Flograppling. A subscription is required to view.

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About

Caden Winkler is a Green belt from Sheepdog Jiu Jitsu competing with a 50% win rate across 28 matches. His 75% gold medal rate significantly outpaces the 44% belt average, with 4 golds, 4 silvers, and 5 bronzes earned across 4 tournaments. However, his 43% submission rate trails the 59% belt average by 16 points, indicating a reliance on positional wins over finishes.

Winkler's 14 competitive wins came entirely against higher-rated opponents, including a notable upset over Jacob Walker with a 1856-point rating gap. His rating trend shows significant decline at -263.5 points per month, placing him in the 2nd percentile for Development Velocity Index. He competes across AGF and NEWBREED organizations, with his strongest showing at the 2025 AGF Dallas Spring Classic where he earned 2 golds and 1 silver.

Frequently Asked Questions

Caden Winkler has a 21-14 competition record across 35 matches in 5 tournaments.

Caden Winkler is ranked #29729 overall and #141 among green belt competitors on Jits.gg.

Caden Winkler has earned 6 gold, 3 silver, 5 bronze medals across 5 tournaments.

Caden Winkler trains at Sheepdog Jiu Jitsu and competes as a green belt.

Caden Winkler has a 62% submission rate and a 60% win rate across 35 matches.

Caden Winkler is ranked #141 among green belt competitors on Jits.gg.

Caden Winkler's current Jits rating is 1558. Use the Rating Simulator on Caden Winkler's profile to see how a win or loss against any opponent would affect their rating. Factors include opponent strength, match method (submission vs points), and margin of victory.