The Roll Up

Hernandez Submits a 5,061-Jits Fighter in Orlando (Mar 21-22)

A 3,781-Jits upset at PBJJF Orlando headlines the weekend. Twenty-three tournaments, 6,406 matches, nine organizations -- from Tempe to Indaiatuba.

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Ben Digital
March 23, 2026 · 7 min read
6,406
MATCHES THIS WEEKEND
23
TOURNAMENTS
9
ORGANIZATIONS

John Hernandez of Nature BJJ SANFORD enters the PBJJF Orlando Spring International Open with zero career matches. He draws Zayn Jaber — a grey belt at 5,061 Jits. Hernandez submits him. The rating gap: 3,781 Jits. The win probability: 1.3%. It is the weekend's widest upset, and it belongs to a fighter making his debut.

Two time zones west, JJWL runs its Phoenix XI doubleheader in Tempe — 949 gi matches and 497 nogi matches across the largest combined field of the weekend. In the Bronx, JJWL's New York V adds another 828 matches across gi and nogi. The ADCC South American Trials in Indaiatuba, Brazil, produce 825 matches of their own. Twenty-three tournaments across nine organizations generate 6,406 matches this weekend, with a combined 55% submission rate.

01
STAR PERFORMANCES

Star Performances

Goes 4-1 at AGF Louisville with all four wins by submission. A 7-4 grey belt at 2,992 Jits whose weekend performance is built on finishing.

LU
+980
JITS GAINED

Six matches, six wins, +980 Jits gained. A perfect weekend at NAGA Utah lifts her to 2,670 Jits and a 6-0 career record.

AG
2,390
JITS

Another perfect 6-0 weekend at NAGA Utah. A white belt from Sentosa Martial Arts who opens her career record without a blemish.

Goes 2-0 with both wins by submission at United Grappling in Detroit. At 11-1 career and 3,300 Jits, the weekend's highest-rated MVP.

Thia Torres of Carlson Gracie Team @ Triple Crown Athletic goes 4-1 at the 2026 AGF Louisville Championships — all four wins by submission. At 2,992 Jits and a 7-4 career record, Four opponents, four submissions, one loss.

Lana Underwood of ODINS HALLS BJJ posts a 6-0 weekend at the NAGA Utah Grappling Championship, gaining +980 Jits to reach 2,670. She shares the gym with Aydrian Peebles, who goes 3-0 at the same event and gains +1,067 Jits to reach 2,257. Two ODINS HALLS fighters posted perfect weekends.

Aubrey Guerra of Sentosa Martial Arts also goes 6-0 at NAGA Utah — a white belt with a 6-0 career record at 2,390 Jits. And Thomas Lee Wogaman of Alvarez Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu wins 2-0 with both by submission at United Grappling in Detroit. At 3,300 Jits and 11-1 career, he posts the weekend's highest rating among MVPs.

02
DEEP BRACKETS

Deep Brackets

The weekend's deepest brackets belong to the ADCC South American Trials in Indaiatuba. Guilherme De Souza Medeiros of JACARE BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU wins 6 consecutive matches in the men's -77.0 kg division at the ADCC Trials. That is the weekend's longest single-division run. Martin Abeal wins 5 in the same -77.0 kg bracket.

At the ADCC Trials Youth, Nicolas Scapinelli and Marcos Murilo Vidal each win 5 matches in the boys 13-14 advanced -52.0 kg division. Vidal trains at White House Jiu-Jitsu School. Joao Freitas of ESCOLA MELQUI GALVAO takes 5 wins in the boys 15-17 advanced -65.0 kg division.

Stateside, Harlon Vela of HNL JIU JITSU wins 4 straight in the kids grey belt division at the FUJI BJJ Hawaii Spring Open. Blake Piza of Gracie Barra Jupiter — a grey belt at 6,293 Jits — runs through 7 opponents across gi and nogi at Newbreed Treasure Coast, all by submission.

03
UPSETS & SURPRISES

Upsets and Surprises

#1 — 3,781-JITS GAP · 1.3% WIN PROB

A debut fighter submits a 5,061-Jits grey belt. The widest upset of the weekend by a margin of 191 Jits.

#2 — 3,590-JITS GAP · 1.6% WIN PROB

Beats Caruso by points -- then does it again in the same bracket. Two wins over a 5,544-Jits fighter in the same tournament.

#3 — 2,963-JITS GAP · 3.2% WIN PROB

A blue belt at 1,657 Jits closes a 2,963-Jits gap on points at PBJJF Orlando.

John Hernandez of Nature BJJ SANFORD submits Zayn Jaber at the PBJJF Orlando Spring International Open. The gap: 3,781 Jits. The win probability: 1.3%. Hernandez finishes the weekend 5-2 at 2,769 Jits. Henzo Santos of Harmony Jiu Jitsu also beats Jaber at the same event — a 2,997-Jits gap on points. Two losses to underdogs in the same tournament for a 5,061-Jits fighter.

Logan Ryder of Glory Martial Arts Center beats Luca Caruso twice at the NAGA Long Island Grappling Championship — both by points. The first win closes a 3,590-Jits gap (1.6% win probability). The second closes 3,150. Ryder draws the same 5,544-Jits opponent twice and wins twice.

Giovanna Maia of Pimenta Jiu Jitsu closes a 2,963-Jits gap on points at PBJJF Orlando — the weekend's third-widest upset at 3.2% win probability.

Several notable win streaks end this weekend. Azalea Dezirae Hinzo ends Mikayla Whitaker's 17-win streak at Phoenix XI Gi. Kekoa Samuela hands Jacob Miles his first career loss after a 23-0 start at NAGA Utah. Anton Barnak ends Logan Daniel Thomas's 11-win streak at AGF Louisville. Aracely Janelle Stevens ends Tyson T-city Franklin's 8-win streak at FUJI BJJ Lansing. Apollo Amores beats Jacob Aiden Baquero by submission at Newbreed Treasure Coast.

04
ACADEMY REPORT

Academy Report

Lotus Club - Fight and Fitness leads the weekend with 67 medals (25 gold, 29 silver, 13 bronze) from 60 competitors across the JJWL Phoenix XI doubleheader. They top the academy leaderboard at both the gi and nogi events in Tempe.

Reaction MMA/SAS Team takes 42 medals (22 gold, 12 silver, 8 bronze) from just 18 competitors at AGF Louisville — a gold rate of 52% and a medal efficiency of 2.3 per fighter. Gracie Barra Chandler adds 39 medals (20 gold, 16 silver, 3 bronze) from 43 competitors at Phoenix XI. Black Tie Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu takes 28 medals from 11 fighters at FUJI BJJ Lansing, and Lone Wolf BJJ leads the Grappling X Oregon State Championships with 39 medals from 20 competitors.

05
SCOREBOARD

Tournament Scoreboard

TournamentOrgMatchesSub RateTop AcademyTakeaway
Phoenix XI GiJJWL94958%Lotus Club (40)Weekend's largest single field; Whitaker's 24-win streak ends here
New York V GiJJWL56155%Cruvinel Brothers - GF Team (20)JJWL's East Coast anchor with Bronx as the venue
Newbreed Treasure CoastNewbreed51552%Axis Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (25)Amores beats Baquero; Blake Piza runs 7-0 all subs
NAGA UtahNAGA49757%Gracie Barra Sandy BJJ (30)Miles's 23-win streak ends; two perfect 6-0 weekends from ODINS HALLS
Phoenix XI NoGiJJWL49759%Lotus Club (27)Nogi companion to the weekend's largest field
NAGA Long IslandNAGA44746%Tiger Schulmann's (37)Ryder beats Caruso twice across a 3,590-Jits gap
ADCC Trials (Indaiatuba)ADCC32751%Art of Jiu Jitsu (1)Medeiros wins 6 straight in -77 kg; international talent pool
FUJI BJJ HawaiiFUJI33748%Island Jiu Jitsu (18)Harlon Vela runs 4-0 in grey belt bracket
ADCC Trials YouthADCC27557%ESCOLA MELQUI GALVAO (11)Three fighters win 5+ in Indaiatuba
New York V NoGiJJWL26761%Summit Jiu Jitsu (12)Highest sub rate among JJWL events this weekend
PBJJF OrlandoPBJJF23446%Asenjo BJJ (31)Weekend's biggest upset (3,781-Jits gap) happens here
FUJI BJJ LansingFUJI22455%Black Tie BJJ (28)Franklin's 8-win streak snapped by Stevens
ADCC Brazil OpenADCC22365%ESCOLA MELQUI GALVAO (17)Highest sub rate of the weekend at 65%
FUJI BJJ SpartanburgFUJI20056%Spartanburg Jiu-Jitsu (22)Home-mat advantage in Inman, SC
AGF LouisvilleAGF19349%Reaction MMA/SAS Team (42)42 medals from 18 fighters; Thia Torres goes 4-1 all subs
Grappling X Washington StateGrappling X15655%Legend Jiu jitsu (18)Pacific Northwest event in Tacoma
Newbreed DestinNewbreed15564%Rilion Gracie Panhandle (33)Highest Newbreed sub rate of the weekend
Grappling X Oregon StateGrappling X13354%Lone Wolf BJJ (39)Lone Wolf leads with 39 medals from 20 fighters
United FresnoUnited7161%Ultimate Brothers (16)Small field, high finish rate
United AtlantaUnited6746%Union Team BJJ (11)Regional event in Georgia
United ChicagoUnited4353%Redzovic Jiu Jitsu (12)Chicago bracket action
United DetroitUnited2040%Alvarez BJJ (4)Wogaman goes 2-0 all subs
United NashvilleUnited1527%Union Team BJJ (2)Smallest field of the weekend
06
RATINGS MOVERS

Monday Ratings Movers

The risers table this weekend is dominated by new fighters whose Glicko-2 ratings are still calibrating. Dusty Gonzalez gains the most raw Jits — +1,329 — on a 4-2 weekend to reach 2,319. John Hernandez gains +1,099 on a 5-2 weekend that includes the 3,781-Jits upset over Jaber. Myla Dollop gains +1,222 on a perfect 4-0 weekend. Aydrian Peebles of ODINS HALLS BJJ gains +1,067 going 3-0.

Among the larger gains, Lana Underwood gains +980 on her 6-0 weekend, and Eli Cortez gains +850 going 5-0. Gilbert Janda adds +986 on a 5-0 debut.

#FighterRecordTierRatingChange
1Dusty Gonzalez4-2Advanced2,319+1,329
2Myla Dollop4-0Prospect2,222+1,222
3John Hernandez5-2Advanced2,769+1,099
4Aydrian Peebles3-0Prospect2,257+1,067
5Gilbert Janda5-0Prospect2,216+986
6Lana Underwood6-0Advanced2,670+980
7Matias Mieles3-0Advanced2,857+897
8James Stafford3-0Advanced2,276+896
9Eli Cortez5-0Advanced2,800+850
10Aubrey Guerra6-0Advanced2,390+350

On the other side of the ledger, the weekend saw the usual rating compression for newer fighters adjusting after their first losses. No drops this weekend met the 50-match, 5,000-Jits threshold. Rating compression for newer fighters is normal calibration as match data accumulates.

07
LOOKING AHEAD

Looking Ahead

Next Saturday brings nine events across six organizations. The ADCC US Open lands in Mesa, AZ — one week after the South American Trials showed what ADCC brackets look like at scale. NAGA Washington heads to Seattle and NAGA Nashville to Tennessee. Newbreed Dallas and Newbreed Virginia Beach open for the East Coast and Texas circuits. AGF Missoula and AGF Biloxi round out the AGF slate. FUJI BJJ Springfield, MO and United Grappling in Derry, NH complete the card. Mesa to Virginia Beach — every region gets a bracket.

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